Thanks, good call there.
KENAYA wrote:wisenheimer at work wrote:
I think too early to propel Adola as the future. Remember Moses Mosop? In his debut he finished just 4 seconds behind Geoff Mutai in that epic race in Boston in 2011. After that the dude never smelled under 2:05. Give him two more races and see how he performs.
Tsegaye mekonnen run 2h04 and win the 2014 dubai marathon at 19years
Today he is still an elite runner but not on top of the world
"JK is predicting some cat and mouse games and a 2:03:25 winning time....
...but if they go out faster than 60:45, they do not break the WR."
"58:18 at 20k, 2:02:59 pace. 14:34 fourth 5k. Still five racers but only three rabbits.
1:01:11 at 21k, 2:53 21st km
1:01:29 at halfway
1:04:07 at 22k, 2:56 22nd km
Pacer Geoffrey Ronoh steps off. And Bekele dropping off!
1:07:00 at 23k (2:53)
Bekele about 70m behind
1:12:50 at 25k (14:32 last 5k)
Second pacer, Gideon Kipketer, steps back at 26.5k and starts helping to pace Bekele. Kitwara only pacer remaining.
2:58 28th kilometer
2:54 29th km
Kipruto now dropping back a little at 29k!!!"
- rojo post on Berlin thread
So other than the fact that there really weren't "cat and mouse games" and they didn't go out sub 60:45, how is JK a genius as opposed to just dumb-lucky? What were his genius insights?