UltraHack wrote:
I believe however, what comprises talent for about 10K up until 100K is much more similar than when you start to go beyond 100K. The specificity drift is larger. A number of Western States champs who weren't running Trials marathon times.
This is very true. 100-miles is a totally different event...especially in the mountains. I've failed miserably at the few I've tried.
You guys know I really respect guys like Max King (who started MUT running events like 8-9 years ago and would clean my clock at anything 50km and below that isn't a net uphill race). Sub 14-min 5km guy, 8:30 steeple....but even his success/results at 100-milers is more iffy.
5km track times certainly don't correlate to direct success at 100-milers....even road marathon PRs don't always. Having NCAA DI track experience and Olympic Trials marathon experience certainly helps (aerobic fitness and running experience in general), but to be perfectly honest I'm over here in Chamonix France now pretty scared sh1tless about UTMB and the pure "mountain guys" that have 2:25-2:30 road marathon PBs. Guys like Dave Laney (14:00 5km and 2:17-2:18 marathon) and Tim Tollefson (2:18 marathon) have gotten 3rd at UTMB recently for men, which gives me some hope... they've got 3-4 years in MUT Running experience and a couple Olympic Trials marathon qualifiers under their belts (like myself...although I failed in 2016).
Of course ultra-mountain races don't have nearly the competitive depth as track and road marathon races....that is very obvious. Comrades has some pretty good competitive depth, but again a lot of the trail-mountain races are actually hard to get into. There is also a financial barrier to entry sometimes (travel, gear, etc). UTMB this year will be "the most competitive trail-mountain ultra ever in the history of the sport," but like I said earlier there is likely some "under the radar" European mountain runner that will probably still crack the top 10.
I never ran at a very high level on the track (as seen from my 14:29 5km PR), but I know a lot of post-collegiate runners on the scene and I know how hard it is to hack it at 1500m, 1mil3, 3km, 5km and 10km. Making the Olympic Trials 10km is a heck of a lot harder than making the Olympic Trials marathon in the US. Of course marathon depth on the road is pretty stacked in some races as well. Just thinking back to the 2012 Olympic Trials the US had like 22 guys under 2:15 at Houston....all in the same race! I was way back in the mid-pack like 43rd place with a 2:18-mid.
#AnySurfaceAnyDistance (although I'm never racing on the track again probably...or under 10km for that matter!)