Come on people, the vast majority of the improvement from the current WR is the clock. If you don't believe Tucker, believe the guy below.
SCIENCEftw wrote:
wow, we have some really slow people on here! I'm assuming most are from the US and not very bright when it comes to math and science.
Thank you for bringing up the turbulent v. laminar wake (finally some reason!)
and here is a tidbit on relative power:
https://hetgeheimvanhardlopen.nl/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/23-The-power-of-Eliud-Kipchoge.pdf?utm_source=Master%20List&utm_campaign=20e7d445c9-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_04_03&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_e3b59af547-20e7d445c9-193134145&mc_cid=20e7d445c9&mc_eid=4e008efe1f
The facts are Tucker said Kipchoge's run is worth a 2:01:40 in Berlin. The guy above says 2:02:18.
I pretty much agree with that. Let's use common sense people. You don't need a degree in science to figure this out.
The race on Saturday changed nothing for me. It confirmed what I already knew. We aren't close to sub-2 on a legitimate marathon and Kipchoge is 45-seconds to a minute better than anyone else in the world.
1) In 2016, Kipchoge repeatedly proved himself in 2016 to be 45-70 seconds better than the next marathoner on the planet.
Last year, he showed that on two occasions. He won London by 46 seconds and then he won the Olympics by 70 seconds. If you subtract 70 seconds form 2:02:57, you get 2:01:47. If you subtract 45 seconds, you get 2:02:12.
Before the race, it wouldn't have been a crazy stretch to think he could run 2:02-2:02:30 in Berlin if everything broke perfectly right and that's pretty much still what I'm thinking now that the sub-2 attempt is over.
Someone get back to me when he breaks 2:01:30 in Berlin. It ain't happening. I doubt he breaks 2:02.