Official LRC President Donald J Trump Thread

L L wrote:

Agip, you want my call for the election?

Biden wins with 413 electoral votes to Trump's 125.

No faithless electors.

He'd have to get Ohio, Georgia and Texas plus hang onto the states he's leading in now.

There is a chance he could become the first president elected since 1960 without carrying Ohio.

It would be weird to have a potential landslide win without Ohio.

And Lindsey loses in South Carolina. That guy is desperate right now.

Just to be clear, I'm not making fun of you or disrespecting you at all here, but that's quite a route for Biden.

I'll stick with 334 for Biden. I hope you are right though.

Sally Vix wrote:

Trollminator wrote:

Me thinks he simply tells it like it is.. or are you denying that you and your buddies are outrageously stupid?

I would venture to say that Igy and Rigged are pretty smart and I would even venture to say my intelligence easily exceeds the intelligence of the two of you.

What kind of intelligent person concludes each post "Mueller is coming ...the clown is done" perhaps 5,000 times? Would any intelligent person do that? Especially when Mueller never "came" and Trump is still conducting business in the Oval Office. An intelligent person would do that? Seriously?

Excellent information.

https://www.fieldengineer.com/skills/dell-sonicwall-technical-support-engineer

Let's summarize your post ... the conservatives here are wack (sic) jobs and the liberals here are either spot on (sic), or extremely effective. Do you know what "sic" signifies?

I don’t believe all conservatives are wack jobs. In fact, quite the opposite based on the social circles I reside in. I just think you weirdos happen to be a special combination of dim, gullible, aggressive and generally out of touch.

L L wrote:

Racket wrote:

I think you're a bit too pessimistic on polling averages like what 538 does. Yes, there's a bit of bullsh!t in it, but there's a lot of rigorous math as well.

I'm not pessimistic.

I am optimistic that Biden will crush it.

It's simply hope for the best and prepare for the worst.

People need to understand that Trump has a chance and prepare for that as a possible reality.

Well...yes. The "12 in 100" scenarios on 538 is, you know, more than 0.

People aren't great at internalizing odds of outcomes. Anything under 50% is basically impossible. Trump's chances at 12% are a little worse than a dice roll. Let's say polling error goes entirely in Trump's favor to make it exactly a dice roll. No one sh!ts their pants and announces to the world when they roll a 6, but somehow with predictions like this it's different.

highhoppingworm wrote:

I don’t believe all conservatives are wack jobs. In fact, quite the opposite based on the social circles I reside in. I just think you weirdos happen to be a special combination of dim, gullible, aggressive and generally out of touch.

You are calling me "dim" yet you don't even know how to spell "whack job?" Seriously?

Sally Vix wrote:

Flagpole is the biggest whackjob here spewing insults left and right and you guys have never told him to cut it back. You are encouraging him to keep spewing insults. It is on you Libs to have this guy act like an out-of-control raging maniac.

Flagpole is trivially easy to troll and utterly predictable. It mostly isn't "Libs" doing it.

highhoppingworm wrote:

?? They aren't supporting or not supporting her based on her credentials. They are standing against the very fact that her confirmation was brought forward in the first place... remember how Republicans blocked Garland?

Background: Conservative, absolutely hate Trump (and the Republicans who support him), and think that what was done to Obama's SC pick was terrible and indefensible.

But how is being against and voting against Trump's pick (he is still president) not an "two wrongs make a right" argument? Honestly, I'm curious how folks justify this? They screwed us, so we'll screw them? And hell, because of the votes, you can't even MANAGE to screw them, so why not at least look principled?

More broadly, and with so many things that we've learned about, I think that picking SC justice and lots of other things need to be CODIFIED in whatever way is necessary (enforceable laws with teeth, amendments, whatever). "Norms" don't work in a Trump/Post-Trump world. It's embarrassing that in the US in 2020, it's not CRYSTAL clear when a president can, and cannot, nominate and have considered a SC justice. And absent a CLEAR law/standard, the answer should be, "Whenever he/she has enough time left in his/her administration to get them confirmed."

I think most reasonable conservatives are embarrassed by Trump and don't post a lot of support for him here.

Here's what I have right now for the krew.

Feel free to post your predictions and add new markets if you wish. And changes accepted through 11:59 PM November 2.

I'll try to post the collected wisdom a few times per day.

Electoral College

LL: Biden 413-125

Flagpole: Biden 334

Agip: Biden 289

SC Senator:

LL: Harrison

Agip: Graham

Senate:

????

Sally Vix wrote:

Trollminator wrote:

Me thinks he simply tells it like it is.. or are you denying that you and your buddies are outrageously stupid?

I would venture to say that Igy and Rigged are pretty smart and I would even venture to say my intelligence easily exceeds the intelligence of the two of you.

That you think Igy and Rigged are smart just shows how dumb you are. Your intelligence doesn't exceed that of anyone I've ever heard of. And, I don't care than I just started a sentence with a conjunction and ended the previous one with a preposition. Oh...and you DID just read this.

agip wrote:

Here's what I have right now for the krew.

Feel free to post your predictions and add new markets if you wish. And changes accepted through 11:59 PM November 2.

I'll try to post the collected wisdom a few times per day.

Electoral College

LL: Biden 413-125

Flagpole: Biden 334

Agip: Biden 289

SC Senator:

LL: Harrison

Agip: Graham

Senate:

????

Put me down for these:

Dems take control of the Senate and increase power in the House.

Graham wins in SC unfortunately.

McConnell wins in KY unfortunately.

I would agree with the when they go low we go high approach in most situations. When the stealing of a seat sets our judicial branch on a course that could radically transform our society I disagree with taking a principled approach. This is especially true given the precedent set by past administrations to pick nominees that keep the balance of the course somewhat stable. Obama’s pick accomplished the previous sentence, Trumps... is literally the exact opposite.

I appreciate your respectful and well written post.

The Barrett confirmation was fine as process.

The hypocrisy of blocking Garland is the big issue.

I thinks Republicans have effectively amended the Constitution to portray that in order for a Supreme Court Justice to be confirmed from this point forward, both the President and the majority of the Senate must be of the same party.

agip wrote:

Here's what I have right now for the krew.

Feel free to post your predictions and add new markets if you wish. And changes accepted through 11:59 PM November 2.

I'll try to post the collected wisdom a few times per day.

Electoral College

LL: Biden 413-125

Flagpole: Biden 334

Agip: Biden 289

SC Senator:

LL: Harrison

Agip: Graham

Senate:

????

EC: Biden gets 320 (didn't bother to count and see if this total makes sense)

Senate- Democrats end up with 53; Dems flip AZ, CO, ME, NC, GA (Osoff), IA, SC; R's flip AL

Update:

Electoral College

LL: Biden 413-125

Flagpole: Biden 334 Joe

Agip: Biden 289

SC Senator:

LL: Harrison

Agip: Graham

Flagpole: Graham

KY Senator:

Flagpole: McConnell

Senate Control:

Flagpole: D Senate

House

Flagpole: Ds increase seats

But but but he can’t help, who adores him.

agip wrote:

Here's what I have right now for the krew.

Feel free to post your predictions and add new markets if you wish. And changes accepted through 11:59 PM November 2.

I'll try to post the collected wisdom a few times per day.

Electoral College

LL: Biden 413-125

Flagpole: Biden 334

Agip: Biden 289

SC Senator:

LL: Harrison

Agip: Graham

Senate:

????

Biden at 289 would be beyond unprecedented in polling error. It would make 2016 look like a firecracker. But I guess it's technically possible