Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Meanwhile, trouble for the Bidens before and after the election:
I can't help but feel that you're better than this. It's so sad.
I guess we all have blind spots.
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I can't help but feel that you're better than this. It's so sad.
I guess we all have blind spots. -
TTH wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Meanwhile, trouble for the Bidens before and after the election:
https://nypost.com/2020/10/17/what-did-joe-biden-know-about-hunters-crook-emails-goodwin/
The dedication to a story gaining no traction whatsoever anywhere but in the source of the story...NYPOST....and maybe FoxNews....I don't watch it but I imagine this is a major theme of theirs right now...is commendable.
However the only real attention the story is getting is opening an investigation into Russian interference which likely puts Rudy and Trump in some jeopardy....and the good news is they may not have a justice dept and AG who will protect them in a few months.
I believe Fox have even backed away from this “story”
Igy is desperate, you love to see it, you can feel his pain. -
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
NameStolenAgain wrote:
LOL
Such a genius argument, the farther he is in the polls the more likely he is to win because he won when slightly behind. This a whole new level of idiocy.
So, how much are you betting that Trump will win? You keep ignoring that question
The Runningart Challenge is the only bet that matters.
Nate Silver's current map:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EklK9MqU0AAKOzt?format=jpg&name=small
IA, FL, NC, GA, OH, TX blue??? 100% certified 🤡.
https://imgflip.com/s/meme/Good-Fellas-Hilarious.jpg
Enjoy your loss.
KAG2020
I don't know where you got that, but it's not Nate Silver's map. Not even close. -
NameStolenAgain wrote:
And apparently whats he's "putting on the line" is having to change his handle, register under a new name, and never have to face embarrassment for all his claims
Yes, which is why the whole bet is so stupid and meaningless. He bound to change his handle after the election either way. "Rigged for Hillary" is so 2016. -
Fat hurts wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Nate Silver's current map:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EklK9MqU0AAKOzt?format=jpg&name=small
I don't know where you got that, but it's not Nate Silver's map. Not even close.
It is a make your own map from 270towin dot com. It has nothing to do with Nate Silver's 538 site.
270towin makes predictions same as 538. 270towin allows users to make their own electoral map. -
agip wrote:
the 538 model finally ticked up to 88%, after sitting on 87 for around a week.
PA also at 88%.
The 538 polling average at 10.7%.
Senate model at 73-78 depending on the model.
Hillary had already peaked and was sliding down, 15 days out from the 2016 election. Can't see any tightening in this race yet, per the 538 model. Remember that the 2016 election was Nov 8 whereas this election is on Nov 3, 5 days earlier. So can't look just at raw dates anymore to compare.
RCP has the race slightly tighter - down to 9.0, after a peak of 10.2ish.
Also can't forget that we have way more people who either already have voted or will vote early this time...voting along the lines of what the polls suggest...not waiting until Nov. 3 where they might change their mind. -
agip wrote:
agip wrote:
the 538 model finally ticked up to 88%, after sitting on 87 for around a week.
PA also at 88%.
The 538 polling average at 10.7%.
Senate model at 73-78 depending on the model.
Hillary had already peaked and was sliding down, 15 days out from the 2016 election. Can't see any tightening in this race yet, per the 538 model. Remember that the 2016 election was Nov 8 whereas this election is on Nov 3, 5 days earlier. So can't look just at raw dates anymore to compare.
RCP has the race slightly tighter - down to 9.0, after a peak of 10.2ish.
and also remember another difference - a much larger % of the electorate has already voted. So even if the race does start to close because of an October surprise helpful to Trump...millions and millions of people have already voted so it won't change their votes.
https://twitter.com/brianklaas/status/1317802197502070793?s=20
Ah. I see you already made the point I just made. -
Apparently one symptom of having Trumps genitals in your mouth at all times is having the math understanding of a 2nd grader. Trumpers like tRigged literally cannot comprehend the concept of probability.
Hey Rigged- I'm a Trump supporter, so we're on the same team, okay? So suppose I claimed that you had a 70% chance of rolling greater than a 5, and you rolled a 10. Would you say I was wrong?
Tell me- did you struggle with math a child? It's okay, lots of adults feel negative emotions about math. -
Trump is guaranteeing the permanent death of the Republican party. Steve Bannon claims if Trump loses in two weeks (he will lose) he will run again in 2024. RIP GOP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8852433/Steve-Bannon-says-President-Trump-run-2024-loses-upcoming-election.html -
Monkeys typing wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
The Runningart Challenge is the only bet that matters.
Nate Silver's current map:
bogus map deleted
IA, FL, NC, GA, OH, TX blue??? 100% certified 🤡.
Enjoy your loss.
KAG2020
As with Sally the other day, why do you post stuff that is obviously not true and what does it say about your mental health that you seem dedicated to provoking others and little else?
Both of them are outrageously stupid.
Rigged is driven by a need to see liberals be mad...a trait proven (reveling in the disappointment of others) to belong to people with low IQs and low self-esteem.
Sally is driven by complete ignorance...not just about the political topics discussed in this thread, but about everything. Only a bulb as dim as Sally would think it appropriate to berate his wife and then brag about that in the internet. -
*ahem* wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Meanwhile, trouble for the Bidens before and after the election:
I can't help but feel that you're better than this.
He's not. -
left now wrote:
Trump is guaranteeing the permanent death of the Republican party. Steve Bannon claims if Trump loses in two weeks (he will lose) he will run again in 2024. RIP GOP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8852433/Steve-Bannon-says-President-Trump-run-2024-loses-upcoming-election.html
Trump will never win an election at any level again. We will see a pathetic attention-seeking Trump after the election slowly get worse and worse ratings at whatever it is he decides to do. We will see how his legal troubles interfere with his post-President days. -
Flagpole wrote:
left now wrote:
Trump is guaranteeing the permanent death of the Republican party. Steve Bannon claims if Trump loses in two weeks (he will lose) he will run again in 2024. RIP GOP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8852433/Steve-Bannon-says-President-Trump-run-2024-loses-upcoming-election.html
Trump will never win an election at any level again. We will see a pathetic attention-seeking Trump after the election slowly get worse and worse ratings at whatever it is he decides to do. We will see how his legal troubles interfere with his post-President days.
there will be some interesting conversations if Trump loses in 2020 and runs in 2024. Esp if the senate turns blue.
R leadership knows Trump runs the party singlehandedly, but Rs also know Trump ran the party into a ditch - losing the House, Senate and WH. (if that happens).
Elected Rs probably won't have the backbone to push back against [email protected] nation.
I'm sure trump would win the nomination again if he runs in 2024.
Unless he is in jail or self-exile. Maybe that would cost him the nomination. -
More on Hunter’s computer:
https://youtu.be/UONQiPT0Mks -
latest sign the Rs know it's over:
Two R senators have put space between themselves and Cap'n Spankme.
Sasse last week, Cornyn today.
Collins has been trying to separate from Trump in Maine.
Rats looking for a rescue.
But they all voted for no evidence in the impeachment. All of 'em.
Save ol' Mitt. Good on him. -
Flagpole wrote:
Monkeys typing wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
The Runningart Challenge is the only bet that matters.
Nate Silver's current map:
bogus map deleted
IA, FL, NC, GA, OH, TX blue??? 100% certified 🤡.
Enjoy your loss.
KAG2020
As with Sally the other day, why do you post stuff that is obviously not true and what does it say about your mental health that you seem dedicated to provoking others and little else?
Both of them are outrageously stupid.
Rigged is driven by a need to see liberals be mad...a trait proven (reveling in the disappointment of others) to belong to people with low IQs and low self-esteem.
Sally is driven by complete ignorance...not just about the political topics discussed in this thread, but about everything. Only a bulb as dim as Sally would think it appropriate to berate his wife and then brag about that in the internet.
“Men are so simple of mind, and so much dominated by their immediate needs, that a deceitful man will always find plenty who are ready to be deceived.” ― Niccolò Machiavelli -
agip wrote:
there will be some interesting conversations if Trump loses in 2020 and runs in 2024. Esp if the senate turns blue.
R leadership knows Trump runs the party singlehandedly, but Rs also know Trump ran the party into a ditch - losing the House, Senate and WH. (if that happens).
Elected Rs probably won't have the backbone to push back against [email protected] nation.
I'm sure trump would win the nomination again if he runs in 2024.
Unless he is in jail or self-exile. Maybe that would cost him the nomination.
I don't think he'll run again. I do think he'll control the party for at least another cycle, but it will be more as a kingmaker-type. I don't think he ever really wanted to be president in the sense of actually doing the job. I think he ran to get publicity and was as surprised as everyone else at how effective he was. I do think by the end of the 2016 campaign he wanted to win for the sake of winning but I think he'd be much happier golfing all the time and holding rallies without having to actually do the job or be responsible for anything. He has absolutely no convictions about any public policy (except maybe for protectionism) so he has no policy goals he would want accomplished. I often wonder if there's some alternate universe where he ran as the dem nominee and how successful that would have been. I like to think that dem voters wouldn't have given him the time of day but who knows?
Also, per my previous post, he can still win. The RCP battleground states are actually slightly in his favor vis a vis last election (still behind but closer than last time). The polling firms seem to have made corrections to account for that and it's hugely unlikely that this cycle will follow the same format as last time for a whole host of reasons we're all aware of but I feel the 10% chance is still there. Looking at the polls from all the states show Biden rolling up gigantic margins in CA, NY, MA and the like (more than HRC last time), the extra votes all being worthless. In addition, say he loses TX by 50-48, which seems quite possible. That's 7 points and hundreds of thousands of votes better than HRC, all for nothing. The EC is even more biased towards the GOP this time and I could see Biden winning by 5 or 6 points in the popular vote and still losing the EC (though still unlikely and I can't see any path for Trump if Biden wins by 9 or 10 as the polls show now).
Side history note: Lincoln ran against 3 other guys in 1860 and won the EC with 39% of the vote. What some don't know is that had Douglass, Bell and Breckenridge combined into a single candidate (so no vote dividing going on), Lincoln still would have won the EC, while losing the popular vote by 20 points. So winning the popular vote by 6 points and still losing the election really isn't unprecedented. -
Monkeys typing wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Monkeys typing wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
The Runningart Challenge is the only bet that matters.
Nate Silver's current map:
bogus map deleted
IA, FL, NC, GA, OH, TX blue??? 100% certified 🤡.
Enjoy your loss.
KAG2020
As with Sally the other day, why do you post stuff that is obviously not true and what does it say about your mental health that you seem dedicated to provoking others and little else?
Both of them are outrageously stupid.
Rigged is driven by a need to see liberals be mad...a trait proven (reveling in the disappointment of others) to belong to people with low IQs and low self-esteem.
Sally is driven by complete ignorance...not just about the political topics discussed in this thread, but about everything. Only a bulb as dim as Sally would think it appropriate to berate his wife and then brag about that in the internet.
“Men are so simple of mind, and so much dominated by their immediate needs, that a deceitful man will always find plenty who are ready to be deceived.” ― Niccolò Machiavelli
Yea:
https://twitter.com/TeamSaveAmerica/status/1317589339908362240?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1317589339908362240%7Ctwgr%5Eshare_3%2Ccontainerclick_1&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fpolitical%2Fstill-think-idea-san-francisco-free-speech-marchers-police-violently-attacked-antifa -
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/10/01/fact-check-quote-attributed-biden-antifa-missing-context/5885435002/
FBI Director.
Be smarter old man. -
https://www.270towin.com/maps/biden-trump-polling-no-tossups
270 to win, no toss ups has Biden with 357.
He had 375 earlier in the week but Ohio shifted back to Trump.
I’m really surprised Biden doesn’t have a comfortable lead in Ohio.
It’s not a solid red state. Obama won it twice and Democrat Brown was re-election in the senate in 2018.
