I’ve actually become less optimistic about Trump losing.
There is no way he’s grown his slice of the pie, so I think he’s capped at 45/46% of the general vote. His supporters are definitely die hard though, they are going to vote and there are just way too many clueless Americans who will vote for him just on the belief that the economy is doing great. A lot of these people don’t tune into any current events or news, so no the Mueller report was not damaging.
While he won’t be able to get as many votes as in 2016, it is entirely possible, and to me seeming more and more probable, that he can win on a bad turnout. No Dem is going to beat him in the Twitter game, and that’s unfortunately a massive advantage, especially for a sitting president. Most importantly, Trump supporters value his apparent genuine persona over results and morals/values. They don’t care if he turns out to be a criminal or rapist, most important is that he doesn’t come off like a politician. Nobody else can offer that and I think there are many dems looking for something genuine in their party but short of maybe Sanders won’t find it.
I hope I’m wrong but the short term memory of my fellow Americans is very discouraging... I just don’t know if the Dem turnout will be enough.