agip wrote:
Alan gave me the idea to look through this website. Amazing stuff, that shows how hard it will be for spanky to win. Approval ratings for him have collapsed in key states. Supportes of the naked guy who likes being spanked by porn stars will have to spend a fortune in many, many places.
Here's a sample of key states and how approval ratings have fallen. First number is at the inauguraation, second is now.
WI: +6 to -12
MI: +7 tp -12
PA: +10 to -7
AZ: +19 tp -6
FL: +22 tp -2
NV +10 to -10
FL: +22 to -2
even OH: +14 to -5
Sure, these are not votes, and people will hold their nose to vote for the R even if he is unpopular. But geez, I'd hate being a Spankist strategist looking at that map. American truly hates this president.
Yep, been pointing to this for a long time. Even if you correct for standard polling error (typically 3-4%) he’s still under water in WI and MI. He’s had about a 20% swing in places he can’t stand to have a 20% swing.
The electorate is changing day by day. We are getting browner and younger. Previous Republican candidates have accepted this and have attempted to court these voters in the past. Trump has not. He’s taken the party back at least two decades.
If he does just as well across all demographics in 2020 as he did in 2016 HE WILL LOSE because of the changing demographics state to state.
Places like AZ, NV and even TX are changing at a faster rate. The west is becoming increasingly blue.
If Beto is the candidate he will flip TX, NV and AZ. Trump may be left with only the South and the “Nothing but farms and dirt” states in the Midwest. I would even question GA and NC as their margin was 5% or less in 2016.
So let’s assume JUST a 3% swing to the left....since he won with 46% and his high mark for recent approval has been a consistent 43%;
Of course he loses WI, PA, MI....
He also loses: NC, AZ, FL and Nebraska 2.
I think TX will be closer regardless of the candidate. It will move to within 5%.
He’s an idiotic politician, keeps shooting himself in the foot, keeps talking about things that dont help him vs things that do like the economy. If he would stop tweeting about Robert E Lee, Immigration, or the Mueller Coup attempt and just tweet about the economy his approval would skyrocket.....until the inevitable slowdown.
Alan