PIO! wrote:
L L wrote:
As usual, all 435 House seats are up for election.
Republicans won the majority of them in 2016.
But Democrats are heavily favored to win most of them this year.
Why the change?
There are 35 Senate seats up for election.
Democrats are favored to win about 70% of the senate races this year.
Why was there a change in 2016? Ever hear of the term cyclical? It'll go back and forth and back and forth. For some reason you think the left is clean as a whistle, but they're not. If they were so clean, why did the lose in 2016? Now I'll sit back and wait for the highly intellectual response;)
There wasn’t a change in the House in 2016.
Republicans had the majority going in and Democrats picked up a few seats that year.
Republicans have a big advantage the way district lines are drawn. Democrats are packed geographically in fewer districts around cities.
When the overall vote is 50/50, Republicans normally win more districts.
The fact that Democrats are favored to take the House back is a result of an anti Trump revolt.
Republicans took back the House in 2010 because of angry, motivated Republicans who came out and voted and content Democrats who stayed home.
Republicans turnout will be good this year, but it won’t match Democrat enthusiasm.
Yes, it’s cycilcal. But there has to be a force around those cycles.
This force is a nationwide disdain for Trump.