Donald Trump is 4.7 to 1 to be the next President according to Betfair. That means he wins 17.5% of the time.
The Dallas Cowboys are 14 to 1 to win the Super Bowl. That means they win it 6.66% of the time.
Trump is 2.63 times more likely to be President than the Cowboys win the Superbowl, according to betting odds. Those are the facts.
The Cowboys' record right now is 5-1 and I think they are one of the better teams in the NFC. Their odds are 6 to 1 to win the NFC, so Trump is more likely to be President than for the Cowboys to be in the Superbowl.
Those are the facts.
My initial thought was "are they Cowboys really that bad?" But I think a) Trump's odds are better than I thought and b) I'm overestimating the odds of the Cowboys winning the whole thing even if they are good.
If the playoffs started today and the Cowboys had a first round bye and were 60% favorites in all 3 of their playoff games counting the Supe rBowl (highly unlikely) they'd only win the Super Bowl 21% of the time. Throw in the rest of the season, facing the Seahawks and Patriots, etc and the odds plummet off.
Oddschecker President Odds:
Oddschecker SuperBowl Odds:
Betfair President: https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.107373419