douglas burke wrote:
Eliud Kipchoge has to be the favorite, Rupp can beat anybody else, I look for Rupp to medal and he could win if Kipchoge has a sub par day, note all of Kipchoge's marathons have been time trials so far, also of note the last time Rupp raced Kipchoge was in a 10000 meter race on the track and Rupp finished ahead of Kipchoge by about a second meaning he out kicked him, I know a marathon is a different race altogether, still.
I hope Rupp focuses on the marathon as that's more exciting for me - as a fan. It's the unknown. In the 10k, I know who he's not beating.
But looking at things objectively, can someone tell me why so many people think he's great at the marathon? Other than the "He looked great jogging a half marathon on youtube" argument. Yes Rupp looked good at Winning the US trials but the guy doesn't have a huge track record on the roads.
Ryan Hall never came close to gold. WHat indication do we have that Rupp is better than Hall at 26.2?
Rupp's medal chances went up simply because the Kenyans put Korir on the team.
He doesn't need to be better than hall. Hall was good enough (obviously not on the day they ran the olympic marathons) to win.
We know what Rupp is on the track. He is a guy that will finish 3-8th most of the time. We have several WC and a dozen of diamond league meets that demonstrate that. At the marathon we have no clue if he is a 2:04 guy or a 2:09 one. Odds are he is a 2:06 type guy that is still going to be one notch below the top 5 guys.