I'd say there's a 39.7% chance that the Olympic Stadium collapses on itself due top shoddy construction, a 89.6% chance that a triathlete contracts a rare std from swimming through raw sewage, and a 13.35% chance that the games are ended early due to civil unrest in the favelas. I think Rupp will battle it out for either bronze or 4th with a 50% that he will DNS.