Yeah it is me wrote:
Bernard Lagat would have NO CHANCE to make the Olympic Team. Do you think the 10,000m is a joke? Lagat could have easily made the 10,000m team in 2012, but the last 4 years have seen Lagat decline to the point that he is no longer a threat to make the team. This is the way it is. Nothing can change that. Fernandez actually does have a small chance. Lagat does not.
Not sure of your definition of threat to make the team or a decline over 4 years.
He ran 12:58 in 2013, just 2 1/2 years ago.
And last year he had the 6th best American time over 5000 plus he ran a 3:54 mile last year.
Sure, if he declines at all he won't make the team but his recent results shows some pretty damn good fitness for anyone to be a threat to make the US team.
His 10,000 ability is pretty much unknown.
We know he did win a gold medal in the 5000 without much 5000m experience at the time.
If I was a conservative bettor I would pick a safer bet that counting on him to not make the team.