Re your first comment you are preaching to the choir here at LR. As soon as he finished the 5K in London there were many telling him "that's as good as it gets for you on the track, don't waste time - go earn some $ on the roads". Problem is, he might only be, say, a 2:06 guy at best, which would not turn too many heads in major marathons. We don't know. It was really tough to tell from the trials. Folks were saying it was "worth 2:05-2:06". I'm not so sure. Agree with the 10K prediction but I'll give him higher in the marathon with a 5th. If he had danced around at the finish like Meb I would be more confident of a medal - but he didn't.