Kara Goucher's Chances to Make Olympics in the 10k

40% chance as of today.

could change as we get closer to the trials.

We have to monitor her level of fitness as the trials approach.

With Huddle, Infield, Connolly, Thweatt, Hassay, Spence and others (maybe D'Agastino moves up as well), the 10k team is going to very tough to make. Even more so if Cragg of Flanagan decide to go for a double. I really don't see Kara having a very good shot at this point, although I was also surprised how close she came in the marathon. Maybe 5%?

There's no way she can recover and train well before the 10k.

sotherzachance wrote:

Yesterday was a strong performance from her. In one of her interviews it sounds like she wants to make the team in the 10k. Thoughts on her chances?

Also...I wonder if Shalane tries to do the 10k/marathon double to edge her out of a spot on the team.

Slim, very slim. I think she ran around 31 close to a decade ago, but a I don't think she has run a world class track time is several years.

I doubt Amy or shalane will double..the pre-race interview with shalane made it sound like she had no intentions of trying to qualify on the track this spring of she qualified in the marathon. That being said, there are a lot of strong 10k runners, so will be difficult for Goucher but can't 100% rule her out.

I doubt any women marathoners would double 10k/marathon since the events are only 2 days apart. That would be tough to pull off.

Depends on whether or not Colt gets her sick again..

Oh please, she ran an excellent race in the heat on a day when many people dropped out or ran MUCH slower. Her time is indicative of 2:25 fitness. With that sort of base fitness, she will be able to run a fast 10k. She never blamed her race on Colt, she said it may have helped her to taper more appropriately.

CGouch wrote:

Depends on whether or not Colt gets her sick again..

Too much Colt 45?

In a trials race it's not gonna be about fitness it's gonna be about having a kick, which she no longer has..

Hasay, Huddle, and Infield will make the 10k team. Not Kara.

Dingler wrote:

With Huddle, Infield, Connolly, Thweatt, Hassay, Spence and others (maybe D'Agastino moves up as well), the 10k team is going to very tough to make. Even more so if Cragg of Flanagan decide to go for a double. I really don't see Kara having a very good shot at this point, although I was also surprised how close she came in the marathon. Maybe 5%?

Or Emily Infeld, Jordan Hasay, and Abby D'Agostino ... but you got half of their names right so you must be pretty well-informed?

TrackCoach wrote:

sotherzachance wrote:

Yesterday was a strong performance from her. In one of her interviews it sounds like she wants to make the team in the 10k. Thoughts on her chances?

Also...I wonder if Shalane tries to do the 10k/marathon double to edge her out of a spot on the team.

Slim, very slim. I think she ran around 31 close to a decade ago, but a I don't think she has run a world class track time is several years.

128 30:55.16 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 10 Beijing 15.08.2008

287 31:16.65 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 2 Eugene 23.06.2011

291 31:17.12 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 3 Helsinki 26.07.2006

395 31:26.48 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 1 Portland 31.05.2008

592 31:37.72 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 2 Eugene 27.06.2008

814 31:46.64 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 2rA Palo Alto 29.03.2013

1305 32:02.05 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 3 Osaka 25.08.2007

574 14:55.02 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 3 Berlin 16.09.2007

729 14:58.10 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 3 Eugene 08.06.2008

898 15:00.98 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 7h2 Beijing 19.08.2008

900 15:01.02 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 1 Eugene 04.07.2008

1356 15:08.13 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 5rA Naimette-Xhovémont 19.07.2006

1634 15:11.47 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 9 Eugene 03.06.2011

1801 15:13.26 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 8 Berlin 03.09.2006

1854 15:14.13 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 2 Indianapolis 23.06.2006

2231 15:17.55 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 10 Heusden-Zolder 23.07.2005

2645 15:20.94 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 1 Eugene 26.06.2009

3099 15:24.59 Kara Goucher USA 09.07.78 9 Berlin 04.09.2005

Looks like the 5000m best ability was clustered around 2007-08, but we have to remember that she had a baby in 2010 and all of that year was taken up by pregnancy.

In 2011 (after a baby) she still ran 15:11 and 31:16, both of those times seem good enough to me to be fighting for a 10k spot. That was five yrs ago however.

Let me help you out ... wrote:

Dingler wrote:

With Huddle, Infield, Connolly, Thweatt, Hassay, Spence and others (maybe D'Agastino moves up as well), the 10k team is going to very tough to make. Even more so if Cragg of Flanagan decide to go for a double. I really don't see Kara having a very good shot at this point, although I was also surprised how close she came in the marathon. Maybe 5%?

Or Emily Infeld, Jordan Hasay, and Abby D'Agostino ... but you got half of their names right so you must be pretty well-informed?

Also Kim CONLEY...who will make the team before Hasay does

the blond from providence, too.

blonde.

eiyeeeee

Thanks, I was searching for a distance runner named Connolly and could not find one.

Kim CONLEY. So, he was 3 for 7.

hmmmmmm wrote:

Oh please, she ran an excellent race in the heat on a day when many people dropped out or ran MUCH slower. Her time is indicative of 2:25 fitness. With that sort of base fitness, she will be able to run a fast 10k. She never blamed her race on Colt, she said it may have helped her to taper more appropriately.

Finally, a person with truth and maturity posting. That's exactly what I heard in her interview because that is what she said. Colt getting her sick helped her not hindered her. Kara never once blamed anyone or anything for not qualifying. She said she gave it her best, and she gave every qualifier respect and kudos on their success.

The negative posters are obviously Nike trolls or bitchy jealous women. I frankly think Kara has a very good shot at making the 10k by the way she raced Saturday. She's in great shape and is one tough competitor.

She is a good competitor, no doubt about it, just not as good as it requires to qualify - Huddle, Infeld and Hasay already occupy all the spots.