Anyone think Sara Hall has a chance of making the Olympic Team?

I really hope so.

No.

I hope you're kidding. The heat and brutality is going to kick her in the hiney. She's not a marathoner. Her best event is the 3K.

Of course she has a chance. Just not a very good one. A 70 min hm means you have a shot at something like a 2:27. It isn't like there are 10 sub 2:25 ladies in the race. Flanagan and Desi are off by them selfes and then there is a group of 10 or so runners with sub 2:32 or ~70 hm who are contenders.

If I had to guess she finishes 5th.

She trains in Redding, CA where it gets HOT (100+ regularly over the summer and into the fall).

asdfads wrote:

Of course she has a chance. Just not a very good one. A 70 min hm means you have a shot at something like a 2:27. It isn't like there are 10 sub 2:25 ladies in the race. Flanagan and Desi are off by them selfes and then there is a group of 10 or so runners with sub 2:32 or ~70 hm who are contenders.

If I had to guess she finishes 5th.

Yeah. But she's sucked/underperformed in the marathon. Doesn't have it. No comparison between the half and marathon. Even her half time should be faster, relative to her shorter distance PRs.

the truth. wrote:

No comparison between the half and marathon.

Yet, Rupp fanboys are claiming his half is an indicator a guaranteed win in the marathon. Never mind that Rupp has never raced more than a half.

Sara Hall has two chances to make the Olympic Team:

Slim & none.

And Slim just left town.

IMO she should be on your list of ten. The LR contest will be decided by who gets the little points at the bottom of the list.

I don't think so but I'd love to see it.

But I want Shalane and Desi- because they have a shot at medaling.

I like Kara

I like Sara

There are other long shots that I'd like to see go, too.

the truth. wrote:

asdfads wrote:

Of course she has a chance. Just not a very good one. A 70 min hm means you have a shot at something like a 2:27. It isn't like there are 10 sub 2:25 ladies in the race. Flanagan and Desi are off by them selfes and then there is a group of 10 or so runners with sub 2:32 or ~70 hm who are contenders.

If I had to guess she finishes 5th.

Yeah. But she's sucked/underperformed in the marathon. Doesn't have it. No comparison between the half and marathon. Even her half time should be faster, relative to her shorter distance PRs.

2:31 isn't exactly sucking it for 70 min HM person. It is at the slower end sure but it isn't crazy slow the way the 2:48 was. For reference it is better than how Ritz ran his first marathons (2:14 for a 13:16 guy is pathetic, 2:11 is a bit better but still 4 mins slow. Granted Ritz's top end times are much better than Sara's). Maybe Sara figures things out (or just have an even where things go right) and she drops another 3-4 mins off that time.

Or maybe the race for 3rd is slow. Maybe you just need a 2:30 to make the team.

Or of course Chicago could have been the race where everything went right for her and her more normal marathon is a 2:37. Time will tell.