I think it looks like this:
Desi
Deena
Amy
Shalane
Laura
Serena
Goucher
Hall
I think it looks like this:
Desi
Deena
Amy
Shalane
Laura
Serena
Goucher
Hall
The weather will likely be hot if the athletes are coming from anywhere but maybe San Diego.
Air quality should be okay, so the usual L.A. feeling like you just smoked a pack of cigarettes an hour into a workout shouldn't be a factor.
The smell of excrement underneath the freeways shouldn't be too bad if McCourt called the mayor to clean things up and sweep out the homeless.
That will be good practice for Rio.
anything can happen wrote:
I think it looks like this:
why is L.T. mentioned when she said she would not run?
Also, no mention of Misiker?
My picks. Mark this post:
Desi
Flanagan
Misiker
Missile will not be on the starting line.
Based on the Shalane interview in RW, I predict a runaway by Linden.
1. Desi will crush everyone.
2. Deena is fit and ready to roll. None of these kids can match her experience and her recent marathon/half times are faster than most on the start line.
3. Shalane's been injured, but even a slowish race for her I think she can get top three.
4. Amy Cragg will twice be a bridesmaid, but never a (marathon) bride? If anyone can beat Shalane for third I think it's Amy, but I wouldn't put money on it.
5. Kellyn Taylor. If her social media is to be believed then she's fit and looking at a big breakthrough.
6. Sara Hall will pr big, but it won't be enough
7. Serena Burla will have a solid effort.
8. Kara will have gone out hard with the lead pack and won't be able to hang on. There will be tears. And the media will give her as much coverage as the women who actually raced well.
9. Adriana Nelson has been training with Deena in Mammoth Mountain. No one is talking about her, but she will have a solid race.
10. Becky Wade? or Clara Santucci?
Why not? Are they injured?
I think people shouldn't underestimate Goucher - she had a great half marathon a few weeks back and looked very strong.
You are right. I change my mind.
Desi
Goucher
Misiker
If Flanagan was (is?) really injured and missed too much training, it is too risky a pick.
change it back. maybe it is a pre-race strategy.
Why does this thread even has goucer in it. Her last two halfs were both above 71. She was supposed to hit 71 at the Rock and roll half and stuggled to do that. Shalane ran 2:21 a year ago. Goucer can barely run half of that and we expect her to be competitive?
Yes...
My money is on Desi and Flanagan. Third place is up for grabs.
well then..... wrote:
I think people shouldn't underestimate Goucher - she had a great half marathon a few weeks back and looked very strong.
Yeah. But did she cry?
C'mon, guys! You gotta include Tera Moody!
Crouch is out
Linden-Kastor-Goucher
First Flatiron wrote:
Thweat's not running
If we believe Shalane's and Amy's comments, they will not force the pace early. There is a good chance that Desi might just run 2:22-2:23 pace and the others might let her go. The most unique aspect is that Shalane always races her marathons to win. If she truly races to qualify, she should be able to hang with the lead pack (or Desi chase pack) and finish strong. Deena could be interesting since she is so savvy, so I wouldn't count her out.
I'll go:
1 Desi with a solo victory
2 Shalane emerges from the pack to run a strong final 10k
3 Deena runs smart but can't close with Shalane
4 Sorry Amy (I hope I'm wrong)
5 Sara
6 Kara, tears
Anyone who picks Shalane outside the top 3 is an idiot. 10 weeks is plenty of time to get ready for a race, especially for a woman with the credentials of Flanagan. Desi will probably get the win with Shalane second, and third will be a surprise on the women's side. I just hope it's not Misiker the doper. I think th men's will go rupp/ritz/meb with no surprises in top 3.