This is a gooooood one wrote:
Why would you assume that Mo could better Alamirew's time when Alamirew has a far better 3000m and 5000m pb? Not being a smart ass, just wondering. Mo has proven that he's great at winning but he's not proven that he's great at going for times/records or being able to push the pace to get there.
True, Alamirew has the 7:27 indoors and a 7:27 outdoors, but Farah's indoor 2-mile should at least be close to that. Also I wouldn't say his 5000 is "far better" ... 12:48.77 vs 12:53.11.
Farah ran his PR winning that race, safe to say he did as much as he needed to to win, whereas Alamirew was in a fast race from the start, chasing guys and finished 4th.
It's pretty evident Farah could go faster than 12:53. Partly it's his own fault, but to my knowledge that was the only 5000 he has ever been in set up to go fast.
Also Farah ran that PR in 2011, his breakthrough year. Most would agree he was improved since then. Alamirew ran his in 2012 and seems to have regressed ever since.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I can't ever recall Alamirew beating Farah.
Farah has the two 3:28s plus the 8:03.40 indoor 2-mile (equal to about a 7:25.7 3K going by IAAF scoring tables), his 5K ability is as good as or better than Alamriew's (at least I would argue, in spite of 4.5 sec difference in PR), so based on his superior speed (Alamirew only has a 3:33x equivalent) and overall credentials I would say it's pretty clear he could best Alamirew's indoor time.
That's my reasoning at least ...
As I said though, I doubt he will even go for a fast time and even to get under 7:27 would need great pacemaking and at least one other fast guy to push him (maybe get Ndiku or Gebrhiwet in the race too?).