The Martial Saugy link is devastating. Of all the "experts" she could she could pick, she picks this guy. WOW! I think he is lying about the 2.8 g/dl increase in hemoglobin obviously being from dehydration. When I posted before,I remember a journal article posted by Ross Tucker that had a study of runners who ran over two hours, with the average increase being around 1.6g/dl and the maximum in any one subject of 2.2g/dl, yet Paula somehow increased by 2.8 g/dl in 1hour seven minutes, and won the race with a prerace hemoglobin level of 12, which is anemic!. Paula is so good she can beat the other doping women who have high hemoglobin levels, while hers is 12g/dl. Go Paula!
Paula either did a blood transfusion or there really was a lab error, so we need to see other runners results tested at the same lab on the same day. For example, to take Paula's side, what if her actual hemoglobin level was really 13 that day, then her increase during the race is only 1.8g/dl, which is plausible, and I would say OK, that is a reasonable increase, and maybe she could win with a hemoglobin level of 13, and that 82 OFF score, if falsely low, would also increase some.
By the way, none of her scores indicate EPO use, which takes weeks to work, not 2 to 7 days, as in these blood tests. EPO use would give high hemoglobin and OFF scores pre and post race,not pre race scores of 82 or 92. Her isolated score of hemoglobin level of 16.2 with an OFF score of 109 in 2012, taken at altitude, could be EPO, because it is above normal range for women(12-15g/dl), and the 109 is above the cutoff of , I think, of 106 for an OFF score at altitude, but just barely over, and this is an isolated test without other tests both before and after to compare it to, as large magnitutude changes between tests are very suspicious. Without a positive EPO test, I would give Paula the benefit of the doubt on this 2012 test, because these numbers could be achieved clean, I think. On the other side, Paula's hemoglobin values sure have a big range of values, from 12(anemic) to 16.2(above normal,too high), for someone who in her autobiography says that her blood values don't vary much at all!
I would also like to see her hematocrit scores( normal range for females is 37-47%) and reticulocyte scores(normal range 0.5-1.5% of RBCs) to really see what is going on. Reticulocytes are immature RBCs which will increase with EPO use, and decrease after a blood transfusion. Her 2005 races, at the world championships,(her 30:42 and 2:20 times are fairly equivalent, as she was always a better marathoner than at 10k), might show a low reticulocyte count on the second test after the marathon, and could increase the OFF score, but those reticulocyte scores have not been released.
A blood transfusion before the 10k would still be of benefit a week later in the marathon. RBCs have a life span of 120days=4months, so a half life of 60days.This is also why EPO takes weeks to be effective, and why it takes months to correct an iron deficiency anemia by taking iron supplements. It is a slow process. Blood transfusions are a rapid process which have immediate effects as in wow, you have 500ml more RBCs to transport and deliver oxygen in your bloodstream right after the transfusion,and those RBCs are long lasting.
What would really help Paula's case is to release complete blood results before and after her best races, her 2:15 and 2:17 marathons. If those tests are not suspicious, I think her case is really helped, but if those tests are suspicious, then I think she is guilty. Why doesn't Paula release those tests if she has nothing to hide? Wejo, why don't you show her this post, and ask her.......
We are all waiting for her answer......Paula?