He never said soon.
I guess AI risk has become déclassé
Casio wrote:
http://www.unexplained-mysteries.com/news/286707/hawking-nomadic-aliens-could-wipe-us-out
No, I think he is saying that by virtue of being advanced enough to reach Earth, that those aliens would be seeking new homes or resources.
I read recently that that there are an estimated 400,000,000,000 planets in the milky way, and approximately 40,000,000,000 "earth like planets in a habitable zone." And the Milky Way is only one of billions of galaxies. The chances that life is elsewhere is 100% certain. What form though?
Not only did he not say 'soon', he didn't even say that he thought this has a high probability of happening. Rather, he is just saying that we can't rule out. He's right. This is a reason, at the margin, to increase investment in technologies relevant to space travel.
It's humorous to me that in all the years of the Earth's existence that you think your brief ~100 year window will be the time when aliens take over Earth.
Shoebacca wrote:
It's humorous to me that in all the years of the Earth's existence that you think your brief ~100 year window will be the time when aliens take over Earth.
I agree. I find it weird that Hawking would even say aliens would be invading soon.
If it were to happen it would be during someone's 100 year window. Ours is as likely as anyone else's.
Actually, it should have happened over a billion years ago.
The most likely explanation for terrestrial life is that there are no aliens.
Casio wrote:
Shoebacca wrote:It's humorous to me that in all the years of the Earth's existence that you think your brief ~100 year window will be the time when aliens take over Earth.
I agree. I find it weird that Hawking would even say aliens would be invading soon.
Soon could mean 50 million years from now, as opposed to 14 Billion years
Casio wrote:
Shoebacca wrote:It's humorous to me that in all the years of the Earth's existence that you think your brief ~100 year window will be the time when aliens take over Earth.
I agree. I find it weird that Hawking would even say aliens would be invading soon.
-Hawking didn't say that aliens will be invading soon.
-I didn't say that I think aliens will visit in the next 100 years.
I don't place a very high credence on the possibility of making contact with other intelligent life. But I do think it bespeaks overconfidence to put the odds of this happening at less than, say, 1 in 1000. (For example, in order for your argument to deliver a high level of confidence that aliens will not visit in the next 100 years, you would have to depend on the premise that alien visits come at a random time. This is not a premise in which it is reasonable to have 1000:1 confidence.)
Even if this possibility is remote, it may have important consequences. For example, it means that at the margin, we should spend more on technologies related to space flight.
Taylor Swift Responds to Hostile ET
At the GRAMMYs on Sunday night, Taylor was asked by Entertainment Tonight reporter Nancy O'Dell whether she'd be going home with "lots of men".
Taylor Swift certainly did not appreciate the question because she gave host Nancy O'Dell a major death stare - and rightly so.
'You're going to walk away with more than a trophy tonight, I think, lots of men,' Nancy said to Taylor at the Los Angeles event on Sunday.
Taylor then responded: "I'm not going to walk home with any men tonight."
She then added, "I'm going to hang out with my friends, and then I go home to the cats."
Be afraid! Be very afraid!
Isnt the Second Coming of Christ suppose to be hostile?
oh please wrote:
Casio wrote:http://www.unexplained-mysteries.com/news/286707/hawking-nomadic-aliens-could-wipe-us-outNo, I think he is saying that by virtue of being advanced enough to reach Earth, that those aliens would be seeking new homes or resources.
I read recently that that there are an estimated 400,000,000,000 planets in the milky way, and approximately 40,000,000,000 "earth like planets in a habitable zone." And the Milky Way is only one of billions of galaxies. The chances that life is elsewhere is 100% certain. What form though?
You seem to be having trouble with basic mathematics.
Why would the alien need to have intelligence to kill us all.
A few bacterias from another planet that somehow attached themselves to something, ends up landing in earth and somehow find a great habitat to multiply could do the trick. No?
HRE wrote:
If it were to happen it would be during someone's 100 year window. Ours is as likely as anyone else's.
Exactly! Which is why I fully expect to be winning the lottery this week.
mileage_man wrote:
Even if this possibility is remote, it may have important consequences. For example, it means that at the margin, we should spend more on technologies related to space flight.
No. Really it doesn't.
There is nothing here that aliens wouldn't be able to get plenty of somewhere else in the vast vast vast vast vast extremely vast galaxy.
We've been transmitting radio waves for about 100 years now, long enough for any superaliens within 100 ly to notice us and zip over with their faster-than-light spaceships and take over. So far they haven't done that unless that's them in Area 51 or something.
Odds are then that there aren't any such aliens in a 100ly radius around us. There are a lot of stars and planets in that space, so it would mean advanced aliens are pretty rare and wouldn't likely bother themselves with a puny insignificant planet like Earth without a good reason.
It's also possible that even the most advanced aliens don't have faster-than-light spaceships, which would make it just as difficult for them as for us to go on long-distance interstellar journeys to investigate insignificant puny planets.
Bad Wigins wrote:
There is nothing here that aliens wouldn't be able to get plenty of somewhere else in the vast vast vast vast vast extremely vast galaxy...
Nicki Minaj
Exactly! Humans within 100 years have gone from horses to going to mars and more. Only 100 years!!!! Imagine what humans will be able to do in 500, 1000, 100,000, 1 million years. For sure we will have the technology to find other life out there and explore most of the galaxy.If there were aliens, we for sure cant be the "most advanced" in the milky way much less universe. I would think that aliens, if they existed would have technology, space ships, colonies or whateve all over the place.But yet, we don't see jack crack. I would think if an Alien race had 1 million year head start on us that they would be soooo advanced that they would be everywhere. Also, if there are aliens, then I would think there are millions of different kinds of aliens and some close enough to us to contact us. I would think some of them would not be friendly at all, but yet we still see no aliens.so from what I can tell, we are alone......
Typical runner or sockpuppet wrote:
Actually, it should have happened over a billion years ago.
The most likely explanation for terrestrial life is that there are no aliens.
RIP: D3 All-American Frank Csorba - who ran 13:56 in March - dead
RENATO can you talk about the preparation of Emile Cairess 2:06
Great interview with Steve Cram - says Jakob has no chance of WRs this year
Hats off to my dad. He just ran a 1:42 Half Marathon and turns 75 in 2 months!
2024 College Track & Field Open Coaching Positions Discussion
Running for Bowerman Track Club used to be cool now its embarrassing