

OklahomaGuy wrote:
https://twitter.com/flotrack/status/629044716504416256
Probability of DNS = 50%
Probability of DNF = 50%
Probability of finish = 0% 
Just saw that. I think David Torrence takes it still. Are they having pacers for this race. Probably but would be nice if they didn't and just let them all duke it out. Should be fun to watch.

Why isn't there anything on the front page about this meet??

extensive documentation...
thanks for the laugh goe 
http://www.oregonlive.com/trackandfield/index.ssf/2015/08/galen_rupp_to_run_the_mile_on.html#incart_most_sharedtrackandfield
Rupp has raced in one event (USAs where he doubled) since the end of May. 
3:52 W followed by IV drip and 6X 1 mile in 4:10 and he'll make it look easy.
Salazar will have a fit anyway and go ballistic on Torrence or some other poor sap for looking at Rupp crosswise. USATF/NIKE/IAAF and Lord Coe will step in and have the perp banned for life for crosswiselook violations. 
Looks like there are two threads. Someone beat us to it. We've merged them.

3:57 for a well beaten third. Crushes an 8 x 400 after the race, cutting from 60 down to 53 on the last rep.

Gets to Duniway track and decides it's not Rupp certified. Heads to Beaverton where he runs solo 3:53 splitting 60,59,58,56 on Nike campus.

Probably because flo track is a competitor of let's run. There really are no competitors actually when it comes to promoting track and field and running in general, but as a business yes there is. I have an idea.... I think let's run could learn somet things and see how this meet goes and put on a meet of there own.

Wouldn't be surprised if Rupp specifically wanted to do a race sponsored by a Letsrun competitor.

"Probability of DNF = 50%
Probability of finish = 0%"
 please explain the difference. 
Ytog3 wrote:
Gets to Duniway track and decides it's not Rupp certified. Heads to Beaverton where he runs solo 3:53 splitting 60,59,58,56 on Nike campus.
I think it's a 440 yd track, which shouldn't matter for the mile, but there is definitely a hill in that track. 
ruppcertified saladbar wrote:
OklahomaGuy wrote:
https://twitter.com/flotrack/status/629044716504416256
Probability of DNS = 50%
Probability of DNF = 50%
Probability of finish = 0%
If the probability of DNS = 50% that means there is a 50% change he takes the start.
Now, if there is a probability of 50% that he DNFs, I believe that means the probability he finishes would be 25%, right?
You can't DNF if you DNS. 
Depends how you interpret his statistics. Strictly speaking if we took it as a list of sequential successes and failures, yes: given that there's a 50% chance of starting, since there's a 50% chance of dnf, there's a 25% chance of finishing. However, the poster meant to say that given there's a 0% chance of finishing, it will be equally likely that it's cause he doesn't start or because he starts and doesn't finish.

I posted this on another thread. Make of it what you will.
I run track workouts at Duniway twice a week.
#1  The track is a 440yd track. Yes, you heard that right. It's so old that it is STILL a 440yd track. Will be interesting how they figure out a 400m or 800m race.
#2  This was the very first track to use Nike regrind material for the surface. The track is composed of old, ground up athletic shoes. It is a soft, SLOW track. Great for training, but not for producing fast times.
#3  There is a noticeable "uphill" on turn 3, due to tree roots from a neighboring tree.
So, I do not anticipate fast times coming from this meet. Factor these points into your predictions. 
But you see, it's a testosterone mile, sort of like a beer mile. Every station you have to stop and rub some Androgel on your shoulder.