1 in a 1000, that's it? wrote:
A 1 in 1000 chance that their blood values are natural? We are talking about 1 in 1,000,000 sorts of athletes, right? And these 1:1,000,000 sorts of athletes are presumable doing everything possible that is legal, such as intermittent hypoxia at over 20,000' and all sorts of craziness like that.
I'm not saying they are clean, but a 1:1000 chance is not nearly extreme enough to ruin someone's reputation.
Yes, they are. Bayesian statistics are incredibly useful in this scenario. Also, the system in place goes to great lengths to prevent a false positive.
Since you've never bothered to read the WADA standards, you wouldn't know they permit a wide range of doping.
The testing itself is mostly in-competition urinalysis which is easy to defeat. Don't dope within a couple of days of your meet and you too will never test positive. Suspicious? Maybe if you are bad at it.
If it isn't clear by now, the IAAF is not sanctioning podium positives despite the efficacy of the bio-passport. Which, is totally within the rules.