Other options wrote:
bocce wrote:Seems you didn't read or didn't understand his post.
Right. Because despite all that he came back nicely for a 13:2x 5k. I think everyone would agree that with that kind of injury and layoff a 13:2x first year back is great progress. Why did he only go backwards??? Afraid to train hard again and risk further injury? Is it mental or physical barrier. I mean I saw the picture that looked like he was missing part of his hamstring but still didn't seem to bother him too much first year back.
I'm writing off of memory here, but I seem to remember a few interviews where Solinsky said he just couldn't do the super fast speed work anymore because of his hamstring. I don't remember the specifics, whether he'd get hurt again when he tried or he just didn't have the speed/power after the injury, but the point was after the injury he was never the same and couldn't do the training to get himself back to sub-13:00 level. He got back to 13:20s because he could train at that pace, but he couldn't do the type of workouts that he needed to go faster.
So he said he was moving to the marathon instead. I'm a big Solinsky fan so I cringed when I read this. Generally when an athlete moves the marathon out of desperation, they're "done". Webb talked about the marathon (before he decided on tris) and never even ran one.
I'm just guessing (I haven't really kept up with him on Twitter or anything), but I think the reason Solinsky has gotten worse (not better) in results since that initial comeback is because:
1) He's now placing his emphasis on coaching so isn't training like he used to. (No matter who you are, it's harder to do it away from a coach/training group while trying to coach others.)
2) He's trying to do the longer/marathon type training which won't lead to as positive results over distances 10K and down.
Considering he hasn't raced a marathon (and isn't exactly killing it at the shorter stuff) it's hard to say he has a good chance at the 2016 Marathon Trials. However, you can't rule him out yet either until he actually runs a marathon. Last year he raced over 25K (1:16:43) and that converts to 2:14-mid with McMillan's calculator (more like 2:15-mid with JK's conversion chart:
http://www.letsrun.com/2007/jkconversion.pdf). Considering that race marked just under 2-years to the Trials, he could have made big improvements since then. I don't know what his plans are, but if he can make a marathon debut in 2:13 or better this fall (let's say at Chicago) he'd definitely put himself in the conversation as a possible top 3 at the Trials.
At this point he hasn't even raced a half he's not qualified for the Trials unless he can use his 25K, but he isn't on USATF's list:
http://www.usatf.org/Sports/Road-Running/OlympicTeamTrials/2016QualifyingStandards/Eligible-List.aspx. So whatever he races this fall to get an official qualifier will tell us more if he can be successful at the longer stuff. I'd like to see him make a marathon debut before the trials at Berlin or Chicago, but will his coaching schedule allow it?