track2015 wrote:
That's where you are wrong, the progression being discussed is being done so in consideration of possible evidence of PED assistance. Nobody on earth can convince me that Galen Rupp could be a 3:50.9 miler (indoor mind you) and run faster than Jim Ryun ever did outdoors. Nothing anyone can say is going to convince me ever of this being possible without serious aid.
Well that settles it. You won't be convinced, the case is over.
What about Cam Levins? 1500 meters: 3:36.88.
Jim Ryun 1500 meters: 3:33.1
It is entirely possible that over in Europe if Cam ever races a 1500 there that his 1500 PR will be really close to Ryuns. and Cam Levins is as far from a world-beater at the mile as I would thing. Would you be convinced then that comparing times across generations is pointless? Well lets consider Kyle Merber? 3:34.54 I guess I can say that Merber is about as talented as Ryun. Although that is an interesting question, I highly doubt it.
Your anecdote doesn't really bode well as there are a lot of runners, even people who don't specialize in the mile/800 that can put up 3:50 low times. They simply don't run them all the time or when peaked. Galen's 3:50.9, although super impressive, was also during a time when it seemed like they peaked way too early and did far too much speed.
In any case, you being convinced will have little to do with the allegations being substantiated or not. It will come down to a formal investigation. At this point, it seems like that won't be avoided, but it will be based on facts. I suspect he gets in trouble, but not for violations on doping which seem like they would be impossible to prove. It will be something for the prescriptions he was doling out without a medical license and the TUE process issues.
A lot has been made of former runners coming forward. Thinking logically, wouldn't that be the case? How many former runners have left NOP and been happy? It should be pointed out that people like Puskedra, Ritz, etc and other who did leave on good terms have been silent, which I think can also be viewed as either good or bad. I am not sure what to think. A greater testimony to possible guilt is how many current NOP members have stayed. If there was doping, why would so many stay? Although it seems possible that there was a 'wall' put up between Galen and the rest of the team as this whole thing seems more focused on that, it just seems highly unlikely. Maybe not though given their long history together, but Galen doesn't strike me as someone who would dope. He is not a massive narcissist or ego-maniac and doesn't seem like a win-at-all-costs person. Just someone who works hard and smart.
For people thinking 'I work hard' is not a good notion for getting ahead, I think the ability to work hard is also a 'talent' people have. It is certainly not distributed equally across all great talents. Solinsky broke down, Ritz breaks down easily, Ryun was oft injured as well (and there are countless others). Imagine if Ryun had actually stayed injury free? That is a really interesting though. Training has to be done efficiently as running hard too often is going to produce negative results. When is the last time Galen was truly hurt? His consistent training blocks maybe are a greater testament to his true talent of not breaking down. Levins seems like this as well. This consistency is what is more remarkable and probably has a lot to do with these guys running so fast. Alter G's, supplements, massages, etc.