Women’s splits
Mile 1: 5:38
Mile 2: 5:19 (10:57) Lead group is now 9. Keitany, Kiplagats, Tufa, Mergia, Sumgong, Tsegay, Jeptoo, Abeylegesse.
Mile 3: 5:18 (16:15)
5K: 16:54
Mile 4: 5:25 (21:40) 2:22 pace
Mile 5: 5:17 (26:57) Abeylegesse dropped. Down to 8.
Mile 6: 5:08 (32:05) Mergia and Tufa start to push. Mergia and Tufa get a lead of 10-20 meters but rest of pack catches Tufa and then reels in Mergia within a mile.
10K: 33:22 (16:26)
Mile 7: 5:30 (37:35)
Mile 8: 5:27 (43:02) 2:21 pace
Mile 9: 5:46 (48:48)
15K: 50:53 (17:31) 2:23:06 pace
Mile 10: 5:41 (54:29)
Mile 11: Chasers are gaining on lead pack.
Mile 12: 5:37 Chase pack has caught the leaders, as has the second pacer (Elizabeth Cherono). Lead group is now 12, Tsegaye and Mergia at the front. They start picking it up a little bit when group 2 catches them.
20K: 1:08:06. (17:13)
Mile 13: Group of 9 now, led by Tsegaye/Mergia.
HM: 1:11:42 (2:23:24 pace)
Mile 14: 5:29
Mile 15: 1:22:05
25K: 1:25:29 (17:23) They are 13 seconds behind the rabbits.
Mile 16:
Mile 17: 5:50
Mile 18: Dulce Felix goes to the lead and gets a slight gap but the pack catches her again. Edna Kiplagat and Diane Nukuri getting dropped.
30K:
Mile 19: 5:38 1:44:37 2:24:21 pace
Women are on 2:24:21 pace. That would be slowest winning time since 2000, though I expect someone to make a move to break it up in the next few miles. I predict a winning time in the 2:23s.