What do YOU think?

2:17??? GET REAL.

The question is, how much has Paula blown her wad on her 14:31 at Commonwealth and 30:01 at EuropeanChamps?!?!?!

Two runners that you seem to have discounted are Yoko Shibui and Deena Drossin. You also have not considered the weather....about every 10 years or so, Chicago gets a hot streak in early October.

This is the MARATHON, not the 10km.

jason

JasonDoesAsia the performances of Paula in August will have no lingering effects in October! As a serious athlete you

of all people should know this! Seven to Nine weeks is

plently of time to recover from a World Class 10000m and

RESUME training and taper for a Marathon-for elite athletes! 2:17 for Paula or Catherine is VERY, VERY reasonable that is only approximately 1 to 2 seconds a mile

(Not impossible at all!) Plus dear sir I thought I kindly ask for predictions to the questions of the upcoming races and that was all!!!

Tergat 2:05:16 ahead of Khannouchi

Radcliffe 2:16:02 ahead of Ndereba

Ritz wins NCAAs

Hell, why dont you just predict that Radcliffe beats Tergat!!!!

Jason

Radcliffe 2:15:47, first Asian woman 2:21:33.

No some 30 yr old foreign man disguised as a college student will win NCAA...

I know Tergat said he would run Chicago this year, but did Geb sign up as well? I never saw that one.

Tergat finally works out the marathon and beats KK in 2:05:49. Gebs breaks the world record somewhere else in a fine solo effort.

Paula Radcliffe runs 2:16:22 and wins by 5 minutes.

mashed tater

I like your unique and often funny remarks; however,

my friend there is no way a HEALTHY Paula can outrun

a HEALTHY Catherine Ndereba in a Marathon. She may or

may not beat Catherine, beat win by 5 Minutes is ludacris!

Vipam

Catherine only ran 2:18 because of the best pacing job in the history of world marathoning....she should be so lucky twice in a lifetime!

I predict that she will run 2:21.

Geb wins Chicago in a new WR

Ndereba also wins in Chicago, but no WR

I'll go out on a limb and say that Ritz wins NCAA Cross Country

If you watch the London Marathon start to finish it is blatantly obvious that Paula was under coach's orders to go out really conservatively the first half. She goes through mile 10 I think on 2:25 pace. At that point you can see a visible change in her demeanour...."to hell with this jogging bollocks" I think she said, and she just takes off leaving the pack in her wake.

She continues to ratchet up the pace on her solo run all the way to the line.

With the knowledge and confidence that she can run 26 miles fast, with even spoits, with male pacers, and with a faster course, 2:16 is easily within her reach and don't be surprised if she goes lower.

If I could find a place to take my bets:

I'd bet Khalid will win, I wouldn't bet against Khalid on a flat rabbited course when he is healthy... if he doesn't go sub-1:01 at Philadelphia half (an indication that he isn't healthy), I'd lean towards Tergat.

Ndereba will pass Paula between 21-23, Paula will go out fast and puke out. Ndereba is a strong marathoner, I think Paula will have a tough time this round. Just a hunch.

As for XC, I'll pick Boaz.

Is Geb going to attend Chicago?I heard that he chikined out or something long ago.

Men's race is difficult .But Khannouchi 2:05:30?`2:07:30 for sure.

Radcliffe has ability to win Ndereba by two minitues and break world record easily.Question is how far does she go?

She is great 10000 meter runner and XC runner,but what is more she is much more suitable to marathon(all opponents(except her tall figure) needed in marathon indicate that the world has never and will have never have such great runners as her ,even if they can run faster in the far future).I'm expecting 2:18 but of course she 'is able to' go much faster .Ndereba 2:19 ,Okayo same range(if she attends),Yoko Shibui 2:21,I can't expect Drossin ,her NY result was not bad ,not good for her speed,maybe she can run much faster ,maybe as fast as ,I don't have info to expect it.

If Paula had a team at Chicago in the style of bike racing, where four to eight runners towed her along with her doing none of the work, what are the chances she runs faster than any male born on US soil has this year? Her 10K time doesn't look nearly fast enough, but clearly it would have been significantly faster had she run under ideal conditions in a male race where the winner ran a steady pace and finished in the 29:05 - 29:20 range. What would you think the absolute best time conceivable is for someone with 29:15 10K potential?

I honestly think if Paula had the perfect race at Chicago

2002 she could run 2:16:52; however, Catherine could run

at least 2:17:15! Thus if Paula and Catherine both show

up and run to potential Paula may win, if she falters any

Catherine will win and I GUARANTEE the winner will run

AT LEAST 2:19:02!!!! And Deena Drossin will DEFINETLY

pr by AT LEAST 3 MINUETES!!!

I hope all the major men & women show up HEALTHY and

perform near their capabilities and see what happens!

Geb is running Rotterdam with a phalanx of Ethiopian rabbits in a WR attempt [Hermens is RD, go figure].

I am saying Tergat in 2:06:30. I'm with Jason. Last time I ran Chicago it was hot enough that people were passing out at the finish line.

Radcliffe will eat Catherine Ndereba alive and kick down half of the men in the elite race.

Not sure who wins NCAA- but I predict Alan Webb will be at home watching with a bag of cheezies feeling sorry for himself for not being able to run.

All these predictions are ridiculous. Paula is obviously quite fit, but how much does she have left after World Cross, London Marathon, Commonwealth 5km and the Euro 10km? I dont know.

I am going training with Yoko Shibui, Reiko Tosa and the rest of the Japanese here in China later today. I will file a report later.

jason

bastard, randy wrote:

Geb is running Rotterdam with a phalanx of Ethiopian rabbits in a WR attempt [Hermens is RD, go figure].

Is that a prediction or a fact? How do you know that?