But. . . wrote:
I like what you said, but Nike doesn't want that. They want their national championship to be THE national championship. As much as people on LRC say it, NXN is not yet of the same caliber as Footlocker up front. Fisher was better than Wilmot; Cheserek than Wharton; Cheserek than Futsum; Verzbicas than Lutz; etc. However, Nike has more money and better marketing and swag. In time, they're just going to outmuscle Footlocker, and there will be a single national championship. Until then, give Footlocker its due. Right now, it is the best individual national championship.
I don't know if Fisher was better than Wilmot or not, but Wilmot was faster - both in absolute and comparative terms - than Fisher last year. Cheserek WAS better than Wharton and Futsum (he was able to run both, and got edged by Cheserek in a good race), I agree. Verzbicas was a double winner, but yes the year he didn't run NXN he was faster than Lutz - not surprising FLN was faster that year, as it was only the second year of the NXN individual qualifiers and the top six were all juniors...
I imagine the Wilmot vs. Fisher discussion is questionable towards my opinion, but just to back up my point rather quickly: in the four years where NXN had good conditions (2008, 2009, 2011 and 2013), 36 athletes competed at both FLN and NXN - their times were essentially the same at both meets (0.04% slower taking out the 4 statistical outliers, or 0.04% faster without removing the outliers). If you don't include 2011 (understandable, as there was some mud that year), there were 27 athletes that competed at both and their times were, on average, slightly faster at NXN (0.17% faster if you take out the 2 statistical outliers, or 0.53% faster if you don't). Wilmot ran 15:00, and using the above %s that means anywhere from 14:59-15:05 at FLN. Fisher won in 15:07. This is further backed up by looking at how close Dressel was to Fisher, and how close Dressel was to Anderson throughout the year (and throughout his career). For more on that, see this post I made earlier this year:
http://www.runnerspace.com/forum/index.php?showtopic=1036272&view=findpost&p=1088835(summary: Anderson vs. Dressel was tied at 8-8 going into this fall and 7-7 when they were within 2% of eachother's times with average XC times only 3 seconds apart). I have no idea who would have won between Wilmot and Fisher if they faced off at 5k that December - anyone OBJECTIVE would probably say the same. And that's why it would be a great thing if Fisher doubled this year, because he can, and because Anderson is looking awfully good as well and if he doesn't run NXN but wins FLN, there will always be that question of if he really was better than that other guy that he never faced.
No one is saying NXN has always been as strong or stronger up front for either gender. You'd have to be blind not to see the trends, though. FLN has maintained a shrinking edge for the very top athletes (the national title favorites), kept a pretty event split of the top 15 type athletes, and has been losing pretty heavily on the #20-50 type athletes. Most CA athletes have opted for NXN over FLN (not surprising, as that means one less race and they don't have to risk not qualifying if they have an off day - ask Finn what that's like); most years, the majority of the top NW and SW athletes have opted for NXN over FLN. Texas athletes go NXN en masse. Non-Michigan/Wisconsin athletes have either doubled or favored NXN (though most WI athletes have joined the club and had good attendance at NXN-HL this year). Northeast athletes have been very split with I think a slight edge (mostly due to the power programs in NY/NJ) goes to NXN. The only region that seems like a FLN lean for the majority is the Southeastern states (and Michigan). To be clear, I'm not talking about just the national title contenders (as I already mentioned in this post, FLN has often had a slight but shrinking edge in that demographic) but rather all the national caliber athletes. To continue saying that NXN doesn't get the same caliber of athletes as FLN is like putting fingers in your ears and saying, over and over unless everyone agrees with you, "Footlocker is better, Nike is a joke, I'm not listening to you because Footlocker has tradition and NXN fans are just corporate shills!" ... BOTH events have had national title caliber athletes (with NXN gradually pulling even if not ahead in some years), BOTH events have had about the same amount of All-American caliber athletes, and BOTH events have had a good share of the top 50/60/70/80 athletes (with NXN having the edge most years in that group).
tl;dr - no one was saying all NXN athletes are better than all FLN athletes; both meets have been great, and will be great once again this year.