I feel like every team in the NCAA talks about how they've been training super conservative until now and look how many actually deliver the goods on race day.
NAU ran pretty horribly after their top 3. I would've expected them to do better than that through 5. Maybe with more time they'll improve. Same goes to Stanford who outside of Maksim and the Rosa brother, were pretty off.
Iona's imports this season seem to be paying dividends, though was it last year that they totally bombed out at nationals? hopefully they time their peak correctly and with Kerron back they'll be very very good. The question is, why did he not run today if they went guns blazing. I would imagine he must have some kind of injury or be behind in fitness unless it's been stated otherwise.
It seems like Portland took a very solid step in the right direction to finish 4th. If they continue to consistenly improve, I could see them finishing inside of the top 5 at nationals but they would have to improve some more.
5th man problems for Providence cost them a lot. They had 4 in the top 65 and then a 5th man at 161. That's a big bleed that cost them probably 5 spots if they could put a guy up with their #4. Same goes to Arkansas who had two guys in the 140s scoring for them. That's pretty atrocious considering how good they are up front and how well ranked they came in today. I wonder whether that was a matter of dropping the ball or are they just overhyped because of their front runners.
One of the biggest stories might be wisco coming out and getting third. How much does home course advantage play into things here? They beat UCLA, Portland, Stanford and NAU. That should cause a big swing up in the rankings for them.
So it seems like unless stanford and NAU find their legs they are probably out of the running for the win against the likes of CU and Oregon. Still a long season but you can only make due with what you've got.