Horst Girth wrote:
It's nice that Bekele's loyal fans think he can do anything. For a long time, he could!
Do they really think he can run under 2:03? If everything goes great for him, I could see him breaking 2:04 perhaps.
Kipchoge, I believe, will win the race. He's more experienced over the marathon. He beat Mo Farah in a fast 2 mile indoors in 2012, he's still capable of running 12:50 with the right training cycle. Bekele can't do that anymore, he tried in 2012.
Sorry Kenny B fans, your man will finish 2nd in Chicago.
Your points seem reasonable, but it's not fair to say Bekele was not capable of running 12:50. When has he attempted lately when healthy and failed? No one has broken 12:50 this year, does that mean no one is capable, or there just wasn't the right race with good pacing?
Coming back from a knee injury, Bekele could not complete the WC 10,000 in 2011, but was able to come back shortly after and run a world-leading time of 26:43.
Despite having hamstring issues in the last portion of the race, he broke the course record in Paris, 1:45 ahead of second place.
In his second marathon, he has that experience under his belt, is more confident, and is supposedly completely healthy. Chicago is a faster course. I really don't see it being impossible for Bekele to improve on his debut marathon time by just 2:07, if he is in top shape like he says.
He stated wanting a WR before Paris, but has gained a healthy respect for the marathon. However, just because he's only talking course record in the press for Chicago doesn't mean if he goes through the halfway point on schedule and is feeling good he isn't gonna go for the WR. Even if he does, Kipchoge could still steal it. Should be exciting!