Pundits are picking Cain to finish second behind the Ethiopian Teferi in the 3,000 at Juniors.
Teferi has an 8:41 pr from getting dragged in a fast tow at Doha earlier in the year, making her about 20 seconds faster than Cain on paper.
In reality I see this being a lot closer. For one, there's no DL fillies to take the race out anywhere close to that pace. I certainly don't see a gap opening up before 1800-2000 meters - and unless Teferi has some steps on Cain with 600 left, I see Cain holding fairly close until the homestretch where it's anyone's game.
Do we know anything about Teferi's footspeed (i.e. 800 times, etc? Ability to surge?
Anyhow- thoughts on how folks see this race unfolding?