2:08
2:08
2:03 low since weather will not be perfect.
2:04:45
What was Kipchoge's debut marathon?
DNF
2:04:52.
George Jung wrote:
What was Kipchoge's debut marathon?
2:05:30
I don't know the Paris course very well. Doesn't seem quite as fast as Berlin, London, Chicago, so my guess for KB in Paris will be 2:05:20.
2:04:00, making it look like it's easy. Less likely: 2:03:00, WR. Even less likely, and I really hope not: 2:05 or more and/or loses the race. Note about "having to learn the marathon": the competition is supposed not to be very strong, that must help him go at a regular pace and simplify the matters very much.
trytobeasuncreepyasposs wrote:
Doesn't seem quite as fast as Berlin, London, Chicago, so my guess for KB in Paris will be 2:05:20.
The profile used to be like this in 2012:
http://www.schneiderelectricparismarathon.com/marathon/2012/us/r3_profilCourse.html. It doesn't look like they changed the course much, if at all. The last climb in the Boulogne woods is painful. Definitely not as easy as Berlin. I am not sure London is fast. I was under the impression it had fast runners more than anything else.
2:05:10
weather is a little warm but I think he will have a good day.
On 2:03 pace until 35k, then partial blow-up, but finishes the last k strong to take 2nd place in 2:05:59.
2:06:04
2:07:36 - solid 3rd place.
Omar lugs Cardinal wrote:
DNF
Why? What exactly indicates this to you? The articles that have popped up on this site in recent days say that he is in his amazing fitness doing 150 mile weeks, plus the fact that he was an absolute beast at the Great North Run last year, plus the fact that he already holds two world records and is currently injury free, plus the fact that his quotes of recent days say he si extremely confident and optimistic.
Being the one guy who says "DNF" on the thread while everyone else predicts sub-2:07 times doesn't make you look very smart.
I either think it'll be very, very good--in the 2:04-2:05 range--or it'll be a DNF. He's not going to run 2:08 or something. If he finds he has underestimated the race, he'll just drop out. Geb has done it before, and KB did it in XC.
I think he'll eventually get the hang of the marathon and be a major contender for the 2016 Gold. He might be a little past the point where he can get a WR. The WR is quick and he's had that calf (?) injury for like 3 years prior to the Great North win. But we can't forget that he stomped all over Geb and beat Farah in a HM less than a year ago. He's going to be good in the marathon.
I am going with 2:06:20.
A DNF is always a possibility with a runner's first marathon. Anything can happen and going in with too much confidence can hurt you. If he was to hit the wall early due to a too-fast pace, he might just shut down and save the effort for another day.
2:06:06
2:08:33
According to VO2,
http://www.vo2.fr/actualite/marathon-marathon-de-paris-2014-04042014-8696.html
Kenenisa has asked for 2'55 per km (2:03:04 unless I made a mistake). They also say the elite recruiter (or whatever that position is called) got scared and mentioned reaching the half point in 1:02.
Kenenisa would also have lost money in his real estate undertakings and would need the money.
Well, if that motivates him to run fast... good for us!
Wanjiru's debut was 2:06:39 on a dead flat course. Bekele is not beating that.
RIP: D3 All-American Frank Csorba - who ran 13:56 in March - dead
RENATO can you talk about the preparation of Emile Cairess 2:06
Rest in Peace Adrian Lehmann - 2:11 Swiss marathoner. Dies of heart attack.
Running for Bowerman Track Club used to be cool now its embarrassing
I think Letesenbet Gidey might be trying to break 14 this Saturday
Hats off to my dad. He just ran a 1:42 Half Marathon and turns 75 in 2 months!