learn to read
the guy said "a" favorite, not "the" favorite
get a clue
he had a better 3'53.00 when losing to scott by 0.01s !
that was better than his 1500pb & any experienced observer of games knew that cruz was going to be a hugely dangerous guy if the final was slow as he coud handle rounds as that 3'36 was to win ncaa final beating marcus by nearly 1s
he much, much better by games & i have no doubt he was good for 3'32 in a 1-off race, perhaps even a 3'31 as kaki, a much inferior runner has shown can be run off mostly 800 training
if he'd run the 1500 i can see him having a 60/40 chance of having beaten cram for silver
clearly experience has taught you nothing
kaki was worst every candidate to run a fast 1500 being a muscular 800/400 guy & nobody expected better than 3'34/3'35 but he ran 3'31 !!!
cruz/rudy woud have expected much better 1500 than anything kaki ran
his 2'14 later in year in a low key meet with nothing field shows he had plenty endurance
nonsense
he was well past his peak after '84 with his congenital short leg giving him pelvic problems
he was good for 3'31/3'32 in '84 games
you clearly don't read or learn
the 400m altitude calculator along with 200/100 ones offers nothing for hypoxia effect on metabolism
it is a purely lower air-resistance/gravity output
for 400m altitude times, the final clocking is likely even an under-estimate for their sea-level =
try more like
44.8/45.0
& find me anyone here who thinks they wouda been shocked if in his london form he couda gone in a warm, dry zurich closer to 44.5
the kenyan nr is 44.2, faster than the euro record !!!
kenyans have plenty of 400 reservoir
no
cruz in rested preparation for 400/800 races was likely in low -45/low-1'41 shape in '84
rudy was not 1s quicker over 400, maybe 3/4s
the 800s differential is also likely to be ~ 3/4s in a paced run
eh ???
kaki not taught you anything ???
try more like
3'29/3'30
try more like
3'28/3'29
no
but plugging in
mid/high-44 / low-1'40
gives us a huge idea of potential