Ghost of Igloi wrote:
same user wrote:
much obliged
so another thing that will go down in short term on rising interest rates, but that will do better long term with sustaiined higher interest rates?
If stocks sell off hard money would flow back into bonds driving rates back dow. So it is hard to predict the short run. In my view the safest bet is to be in high quality short term bonds. If interest rates continue to rise you will capture that move, if interest rates fall you will have some appreciation.
But aren’t you expecting a stock sell off? That would suggest long term bonds are the better investment.
Maybe.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
https://mobile.twitter.com/hussmanjp/status/1047850910490288132
#1 is simply not true. Ever hear of an IPO? Look it up.
Bank errrrr wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
https://mobile.twitter.com/hussmanjp/status/1047850910490288132#1 is simply not true. Ever hear of an IPO? Look it up.
No, original venture investors are selling their privately held shares.
Sorry.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Bank errrrr wrote:
#1 is simply not true. Ever hear of an IPO? Look it up.
No, original venture investors are selling their privately held shares.
Sorry.
So you’re saying the venture capital has been on the sidelines. Same diff.
Whatever buddy.
Hussman is referring to central bank QE that is going the other direction now. One reason you see interest rates spiking. Your handle refers to the belief that valuations do not matter.
Try another troll.
Being a Market History buff, I didn't notice you posting this.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Hussman is referring to central bank QE that is going the other direction now. One reason you see interest rates spiking. Your handle refers to the belief that valuations do not matter.
Try another troll.
Of course valuations matter. I never said they didn’t. Those are your words.
The quote clearly states Hussman’s belief that it IS different this time.
Whatever you say, inconsequential point.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Whatever you say, inconsequential point.
It’s hardly inconsequential given that you are a literal Hussman recording, yet you have repeatedly emphasized that it’s NOT different this time. Are you seriously going to step away from the altar of your messiah?
different user wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
If stocks sell off hard money would flow back into bonds driving rates back dow. So it is hard to predict the short run. In my view the safest bet is to be in high quality short term bonds. If interest rates continue to rise you will capture that move, if interest rates fall you will have some appreciation.
But aren’t you expecting a stock sell off? That would suggest long term bonds are the better investment.
Tell us something we don’t know.
purple martin wrote:
Being a Market History buff, I didn't notice you posting this.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/this-stock-market-trend-has-only-happened-5-times-before-its-almost-always-good-news/ar-BBNS2Dn?li=BBnbfcN
I guess "SOON" won't be this year.
It’s different this time wrote:
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
Whatever you say, inconsequential point.
It’s hardly inconsequential given that you are a literal Hussman recording, yet you have repeatedly emphasized that it’s NOT different this time. Are you seriously going to step away from the altar of your messiah?
No your messiah is the weathervane of the market. For now you are the rooster strutting and puffing out your chest. Shortly you will be coiled in the fetal positon sequestered in your safe space.
purple martin wrote:
Being a Market History buff, I didn't notice you posting this.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/this-stock-market-trend-has-only-happened-5-times-before-its-almost-always-good-news/ar-BBNS2Dn?li=BBnbfcN
Ah means nothing, but this is what you need to pay attention to:
http://jlfmi.tumblr.com/post/178727914825/a-very-lowly-new-highMein GOAT wrote:
different user wrote:
But aren’t you expecting a stock sell off? That would suggest long term bonds are the better investment.
Tell us something we don’t know.
Tell us something you know.
mister wrote:
purple martin wrote:
Being a Market History buff, I didn't notice you posting this.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/this-stock-market-trend-has-only-happened-5-times-before-its-almost-always-good-news/ar-BBNS2Dn?li=BBnbfcNI guess "SOON" won't be this year.
Don’t bet on it.