statsie the stats boy wrote:
By my computations, they have a 3 in 8 chance of any given place.
What about for 93rd place?
statsie the stats boy wrote:
By my computations, they have a 3 in 8 chance of any given place.
What about for 93rd place?
When Montano finishes, when you see her slow in the stretch, you expect people to pass her - but look a little closer and you'll see they're going slow too, and when they try to catch her they stall.
The reason is she knows how to hold form on a high positive split, and the others don't. Going out fast puts everyone on rubber legs.
It's a great tactic because it can't be countered, but it has to be done with full commitment. Solomon eased up and failed.
Bad Wigins wrote:
When Montano finishes, when you see her slow in the stretch, you expect people to pass her - but look a little closer and you'll see they're going slow too, and when they try to catch her they stall.
The reason is she knows how to hold form on a high positive split, and the others don't. Going out fast puts everyone on rubber legs.
It's a great tactic because it can't be countered, but it has to be done with full commitment. Solomon eased up and failed.
I think it can be countered. And was in the Olympics. And probably will be again this year.
That doesn't mean that there's a better way for her to run. Just that there are runners who can run more even splits and close fast enough to run her down. Brenda Martinez looks like she might be one such runner.
Her 400 split was 56.33. In the final she needs 27.5/29.5/30.
With a 1:27 600 split she has a good shot at Gold. I don't think Savinova has got a sub 1:57.5 in her for the final.