Galen Rupp in Emsely Carr Mile at London DL

Moh Fara is lucky if he gets under 7:35 and Ghalen Rupp if he gets a 3:52. Haile had 3:52.xx for the mile so this is sufficient to win in Moscow!!

Probably he'll finish in like 7th place, which in London could mean around 3:55.

Farah on the other hand (IF it's not windy and the pacer is okay) I could see going 7:29 or even 7:28, if he puts his mind into it. Well, but usually he gives a damn about a fast time.

LM wrote:

Good to see him coming out to race a bit finally as well.

Definitely. He has been the least raced serious contender in the 5/10 this year. It is very strange.

stupidned wrote:

3:47.5 if the pacemaking is good.

No.

3:49 ceiling.

Terrible strategy for Rupp to run a fast mile at this point.

All a fast time will do is FURTHER alert his competition to the fact that they need to make it a strength race and not leave it to the last laps.

Stupid.

A better move would be to do that 12:50 all of the fanboys are saying he has. If he has it.

Reaper wrote:

Time predictions:

Rupp - 3:50

Farah - 7:32

Logical.

not rupp certified wrote:

Prediction: DNS

Logical.

rupp-certified saladbar wrote:

All a fast time will do is FURTHER alert his competition to the fact that they need to make it a strength race and not leave it to the last laps.

So a year ago Rupp had NO CHANCE at medaling in the Olympics and this year everyone is crafting their race tactics to STOP RUPP!!! Makes sense.

Barf into my mouth wrote:

Yawn ... Rupp is a boring twat who is supported by criminal company.

This.

Yup yup wrote:

I would like to see someone go out hard like Tadesse did in 2009 (?). He guaranteed himself the silver with that run.

No, he gambled himself the silver with that run! In no way is such a move a guarantee (but damn exiting for us watching). The Erithreans (all three of them) tried the same move in London, remember, but only lasted for a couple of laps that time. They'll be the x-factor in Moscow, a full team of three coming in under the radar, prepared to upset the Oregon-vs-Ethiopia-vs-Kenya pre games headgame. :-)

He can run 3:48/3:49 in top shape outdoors this year. What kind of form will he be for this race? I'd say that Al Salazar has his runners do low key races with no big time expectations before having them do confidence-building fast races at underdistances prior to championships and he sets them up to succeed, not to fail. Historically, in such races, Rupp has almost always met the mark. So, I predict he improves on his indoor time, rather than running a discouraging slower time. Prediction: 3:49. Then American record attempts at mile/5000/10000? after world's.

3:42.5

new WR

LM wrote:

Good to see him coming out

Yeah finally.

jokes wrote:

LM wrote:

Good to see him coming out

Yeah finally.

Heh

So everyone is busy fighting about the time or the reason for the race.

Can the reason be as simple as the flight from the west coast of the US to Moscow is 11+ hours, but the flight from London is only 4 hours.

He can fly to London run a short race. Stay in London (with Mo's family) and his body will have less of an adjustment when he heads to Moscow a few weeks later?

Lot of smart things being said on Page 3. Confidence race? I say yes. Pit-stop on the way to Moscow? Makes sense too.

Why is he not running in the same race as Mo? He needs much more speed work than Mo; thus the difference between silver and gold.

What time is he looking for? Dude crushed the mile during the indoor season, running 3:51 and making it look easy with a workout on the treadmill afterwards. See I wonder if AlSal is gonna have Rupp race this mile at the beginning, in the middle, or at the end of an entirely larger speed session. At the beginning makes sense, because he'll have all the time in the world to workout after the race. But at the end of an earlier workout could prepare him for Moscow better... maybe the 3rd or 4th of mile repeats?

If he's fresh... I say he's got a shot at sub 3:50. He's the Olympic silver medalist in the 10k, he knows how to run. His indoor time puts him really close to that 3:49 mark, something he definitely wants (as well as the AR at some point.. maybe next season at PRE during the off year)!!

If he's in the middle or at the end of a workout count on him being around 3:55 or 3:58.

And of course, he's getting a fat, non-Nike paycheck here, by the meet organizers. That's what happens when you win medals.

afromanmiler wrote:

Why is he not running in the same race as Mo? He needs much more speed work than Mo

Strange, I thought Salazar said he was faster than Mo at short distances.

J.R. wrote:

afromanmiler wrote:

Why is he not running in the same race as Mo? He needs much more speed work than Mo

Strange, I thought Salazar said he was faster than Mo at short distances.

1) Rupp has a higher top end sprint speed than Mo.

2) The point of speed work is not primarily to improve top end sprint speed.

3) Glad I could clear that up for you.

Rupp has higher top end speed, according to Salazar, but does not have quite the kick that Mo has at the end of a race.