Next sub 13 club inductees
Good Chance
1) Lomong-has the talent should be there soon
2) Jager-only thing in his way is to much focus on the steeple but I think he will still throw down on a fast 5k at some point
3)True-I think he'll get there too but Jager will get there first
Out side chance someday
4) Webb-I know he's a long shot but he always had the talent so it's possible
5) Derrick- Shown he has the talent but he's a 12:58 life time guy so it may or may not happen
6) Leer- I know he's a ways away but he has shown some talent this year if he has another couple years of solid improvement it could happen.
Probably not
Centro: He is a great athlete and a brilliant tactician but I don't think he has the distance in him. Unless he converts to a straight 5k guy (and soon)he won't do it.
Fernandez: He has a lot of talent but seems to have been "burnt" by one long season several years ago. I know talent doesn't go away but I think you can break your body and never really recover.
Saarel: Who knows, its way to early to say but him going to Wetmore doesn't seem like a great thing to me. Wetmore is always a crap shoot for long term success due to this focus on long hard runs. He makes strong not particularly fast runners. While many of his runners have had successful careers only Ritz has had success on the world level and his is modest at best. Also almost all of Ritz's best performances have come under other coaches. I have no doubt that Saarel will win (or get second to a fast Kenyan) many NCAA titles and be a multi All American but we have no idea whether it will be anything more than that.