sjc wrote:
bekele has run 332.35
rupp will not run faster than someone who has him by 20s in the 5k, and 30s in the 10k
everyone predicting 332 low is out of their minds! rupp will pr more than likely which is great. but 332 low is insane, you're basically saying he is the best american from 1500-10k, no way.
he has a better shot at the 5k AR than running 332 low.
This is wrong for so many reasons. 1st Rupp beat Bekele at 5000 and 10000 this season so Bekele doesn't have Rupp at all. If you mean lifetime bests than you are ignoring a lot of important factors. One of the most important is that Rupps PB's are on a consistent upward trajectory, Bekele's are not. Another one is that Rupp and Bekele are not the same runners, Rupp may be able to blast Bekele over an 800 but never run under 26:38, which Bekele has obviously done.
3:32 may not happen, but if it's a 3:30 race than I bet it will. On any given day right now Rupp can break up the top 5 US milers and probably would never come in as 5th. Probably 2nd to 4th if they were to race 5 times under his normal training program and not trying to train as a 1500 runner.
The difference is they can't do what he can at 5000 or 10000, but that doesn't mean he cannot do what they could at 1500. That is not to their discredit, it's just how good he is.