I know it's *conventional wisdom* that everyone on the planet needs to move up a distance, but in the case of Fernandez (and Rupp) I would rather see these guys dedicate themselves to joining the sub-3:50 mile club first. Lomong may have made a mistake in moving up to the 5k this year, and probably would have medaled in the 1500 in London.Develop speed first and foremost, squeeze every single ounce of speed potential you can out of the body while you are in your 20's, then when you turn 35 you can start looking at the 5k/10k.
WhatYo wrote:
Why are you guys making predictions about his 1500 time? He's a 5000 guy. Even Lomong moved up to the 5000. He is training with a team of 5000 and 10000 guys. The predictions should be for the 5000.
If he stays healthy, he'll be a 3:35/13:10-15 guy next year. It usually takes a year to get used to Jerry's training (see Bumbi).
In 2014, if he can have uninterrupted training and a strong mental approach, he could be sub 3:34 sun 13:00.
In 2016, Bumbi, Lomong and Fernandez will be a solid 5000 crew, hopefully all with sub 13:00 credentials.
Then Rupp, Solinsky and Derrick will make a very strong 10000 team.. likely with all sub 27:00 credentials.
That seems like the future.