It's Rupp's when he wants it.
It's Rupp's when he wants it.
outside of staying healthy, really the only thing is the half AR isn't the kind of thing he'd put much effort toward itself. at several points in the next 5 years he'll likely be able to run low 59s, but the question is whether the right opportunity will be there for him.
He'll break it in the spring when he does a half after his winter strength work.
20th IAAF World Half Marathon Championships
October 6, 2012
Kavarna, Bulgaria
Rock N Roll Philadelphia.
Not gonna happen.
If Galen Rupp doesn't break the record, I will be very surprised.
Is Rupp fast enough to break that record? Hall wasn't a slouch when he set that record. I wouldn't blindly assume that Rupp is better than Hall either. Galen's 12:5x 5k vs Hall's 2:06 marathon? About the same, no?
Hall's 13:15 5k PR equates to a 27:30 10k, and I honestly think Hall in his prime (track prime, that is) could have run 27:20 or so, because he certainly gets better the longer the distance. Now his 10k PR is only 28-low, but IMHO, he's never truly focused on the distance.
Now, considering how he gets better the longer the distance, even though the half record was set by a "27:30" (theoretically) guy, it might take someone of 27:00-27:15 caliber to break it - and that would either mean that Rupp would have to seriously focus on it, or have an INCREDIBLE base phase during the winter. Alternatively, if he ran it right after the end of the track season, that's a good possibility too.
Who knows, maybe i'm giving Hall too much credit, but it is a very strong record, performance wise it's better than his Marathon PR. All this being said, I do think Rupp will break it.
Or Solinsky.
I would love to see Rupp and Ritz go after all of the road AR's from 5k to 25k. I think it would add a little variety to their routines and generate a lot of interest for the sport.
It looks like Teg and Solinsky beat them to it. Once Rupp runs a half as his peak race, it is all over. 59:20 or so on a fast course. He can crush tadesse in a 10k, and I doubt the 1/2 is that much of a difference to rupp.
runner85 wrote:
It looks like Teg and Solinsky beat them to it. Once Rupp runs a half as his peak race, it is all over. 59:20 or so on a fast course. He can crush tadesse in a 10k, and I doubt the 1/2 is that much of a difference to rupp.
Rupp can NOT crush Tadesse in a 10k. Are you trolling?
That Tadese must be a mighty generous fellow to let Rupp take the silver like that.
He beat an out of shape Tadesse. And even if that wasn't the case, Rupp would not CRUSH any 26:3x runner. Crush is way too strong of a word.
Lost Soul wrote:
...
Who knows, maybe i'm giving Hall too much credit, but it is a very strong record, performance wise it's better than his Marathon PR. All this being said, I do think Rupp will break it.
Or Solinsky.
Rupp is just so much better than Ritz that it is difficult to see him unable to pretty easily break Hall's mark when Ritz has come within 17 seconds of the same mark.
I could be wrong, of course. (It's happened many a time before) But I see Rupp at 59 low in his first serious attempt (given good weather, a fast course, etc.).
I dunno wrote:
Rupp is just so much better than Ritz that it is difficult to see him unable to pretty easily break Hall's mark when Ritz has come within 17 seconds of the same mark.
Ritz gets better as the distance is longer. Rupp is faster in the shorter stuff like the 1500m.
iwjjw wrote:
I dunno wrote:Rupp is just so much better than Ritz that it is difficult to see him unable to pretty easily break Hall's mark when Ritz has come within 17 seconds of the same mark.
Ritz gets better as the distance is longer. Rupp is faster in the shorter stuff like the 1500m.
Maybe. Definitely Ritz gets better as the distance gets longer. However, I think that the same is true of Rupp. He just hasn't focused on anything further than 10000 yet.
We'll see.
I feel like he would have had a shot if he had kept up his training for a month or six weeks, or whatever it was, and done the Philidelphia half. It would have been pretty perfect because he already had Ritz shifting straight into longer stuff to train with. I can see why he didn't, though, coming off the high of a silver medal and the letdown of that bad 1500 and not getting the 5000 AR after the Olympics.
I think he will be capable of setting the AR in the half for the next few years, at least (assuming he stays healthy, motivated, etc). BUT, I have a feeling he will not get it. He doesn't run half marathon's now because he's focused on track. He only ran the New York half because his American record attempt in the 10k in New Zealand got cancelled because of the earthquake. He has also showed a real reluctance to push the pace and go for a record ever since he essentially served as a pacer to Chris Solinsky. Once he is done with track, he will probably just move up the the Marathon and only run the half as a tune-up for marathon's. He would need to spend a block of training just on the half marathon (like Ryan Hall did when he ran the AR) or do it on the tail end of a track season (like Ritz did in 2009) and I don't see either of those happening.
When he turns 28 or 30 thats when performance starts to go down hill and the time to start moving to longer distances for most people.
I don't understand this logic...
eriplane wrote:He would need to spend a block of training just on the half marathon (like Ryan Hall did when he ran the AR) or do it on the tail end of a track season (like Ritz did in 2009) and I don't see either of those happening.
Rupp ran 1:00:30 on 10K training as an afterthought race.