SEG wrote:
LetsRun.com wrote:We've done it ourselves.
http://www.letsrun.com/2012/odds-0801.phpOkay, I ran the numbers based on the the predictions you gave (because you said "up to X%", I gave each runner the number between X% and the next percent down) and here are the results:
Chance of 0 medals: 17.0%
Chance of 1 medal: 33.4%
Chance of 2 medals: 28.9%
Chance of 3 medals: 14.6%
Chance of 4 medals: 4.8%
Chance of 5+ medals: 1.3%
If anyone else wants me to do the same for them, just post your percentages.
Thanks we were going to ask someone to do it because we were wondering what it meant overall. Looks about right.