With all of the talk of the attempted world record tomorrow I was just thinking about what kind of times David Rudisha could run at other distances if run in the same shape he is in now. I think he could most definitely run a very fast 1500, maybe 3:32ish at least. But what about in a 5k? I would like to imagine he could break 14 minutes, but since he is more of an 800/400 man perhaps not. What does everyone else think he could run 5k in?
17 mins
Right now he is probably in 14:15 shape
I've heard he runs decently high milage 60-80 depending on the time of year. With that and his natural ability, i'd imaging he could go at least 13:45-13:50
HEY! wrote:
I've heard he runs decently high milage 60-80 depending on the time of year. With that and his natural ability, i'd imaging he could go at least 13:45-13:50
ahahahaha. you're serious!
I know lots of sub 2 800 guys who would run like 18+. This would scale down to like 15:30 for Rudisha. However, since he runs much higher mileage than they do, and since those guys would probably run faster in their base phase, 14:00 seems reasonable, 14:30 at the slowest.
800 1600 3000 5000
1:40-->3:59-->8:53-->16:40
1:41-->4:03-->9:05-->17:20
On a good day he should be able to run under 17.
Pretty sure he does fartleks and tempos with isaak songok who's legit. at the end of his base phase I bet rudisha could hit a sub 14 5k. in peak 800m shape at the end of the season he could probably run a 14:30-15:00.
13:40.88
You must be joking. Leading up to my 800m pb of 1:47 .6 I clocked a 47.03 400m and a 16:12 5km off 35miles per week. Rudisha is faster over the 800m, has a better 400 to 800 differential and runs double the mileage. He easily goes sub 16. You have no clue.
mcmillan calc for 1:41 800m:
Your Equivalent Performances
Event
Time
Pace/Mi
Pace/Km
100m
11.0
-
-
200m
22.0
-
-
400m
46.0 (too slow)
-
-
500m
1:00.0
-
-
800m
1:41.0
-
-
1000m
2:12.0
-
2:12.0
1500m
3:28.0
-
2:18.7
Mile
3:44.0
3:44.0
2:19.2
2000m
4:44.0
3:48.5
2:22.0
3000m
7:25.0
3:58.7
2:28.3
2 Miles
7:58.0
3:59.0
2:28.5
4000m
10:08.0
4:04.6
2:32.0
3 Miles
12:28
4:09
2:35
5000m
12:56
4:10
2:35
4 Miles
16:55
4:14
2:38
8000m
21:19
4:17
2:40
5 Miles
21:26
4:17
2:40
10km
26:52
4:19
2:41
15km
41:38
4:28
2:47
10 Miles
45:01
4:30
2:48
20km
56:39
4:34
2:50
1/2 Mara
59:47
4:34
2:50
15 Miles
1:08:57
4:36
2:51
25km
1:11:58
4:38
2:53
30km
1:27:32
4:42
2:55
20 Miles
1:34:40
4:44
2:56
25 Miles
1:59:20
4:46
2:58
Marathon
2:06:05
4:49
3:00
Whoever said 60-70 mpw is a moron. Rudisha is a 400/800 guy, very low mileage lots of speed. He could do no better than 15.
Vento|in^3 wrote:
800 1600 3000 5000
1:40-->3:59-->8:53-->16:40
1:41-->4:03-->9:05-->17:20
On a good day he should be able to run under 17.
Where do you get off saying that 4:03 in the 1600 equals 9:05 in the 3k?! Do you honestly believe that someone capable of running 4:03 in the 16 could really only run a 9:05 for the 3k, a rather mediocre time for even highschoolers.
Dennis Reynolds is the most ignorant poster on this message board.
He's a speed guy who runs fast off a very fast first lap. I say 14:15-14:30 if he really does longer tempo runs, 15:20 otherwise.
There was a thread on here a while ago that outlined his training for off season if I remember correct and he had a lot of long runs in there. I'd say the 60/70MPW is about accurate for certain times of the year.
Lol DR can run a 2:06 marathon
a 1:59 guy running an 18+ guy is not like a 1:40 guy running 15:30. Terrible analogy/ comparison/ proportion.
Khadevis Robinson has stated he ran a 15:flat 5k, and that is on the slow side for elite 800 guys. I've seen andrew wheating has a 10k cross country pr of 30:40 and 23:46 for 8k. Nick Symmonds routinely ran in the low 24s or slightly below for 8k cross country.
I give Rudisha a 13:45 on his first try.
Bungei's PM workout for July 25, 2008 was 5000 in 15:13 after a 20 minute easy warmup. The 1000s were 3:12, 3:06,
3:02, 2:58, and 2:54. Presumably he could go faster if it was a race and not his second workout of the day. Since Bungei was also 400/800 guy, perhaps Rudisha would be in this ballpark of sub 15.
Agree. I would be shocked if he couldn't break 14:30 easily. I think 13:45 sounds about right without extra training. If he devoted a whole year to it, who knows?