If he says he's in that shape, he's probably in low 13 shape, close, and still needs some sharpening and fast races to be ready, and we all hope he stays healthy all season and can reach his potential, which has always been extremely high at these distances. This is the guy who ran for maybe six weeks before beating Hall at NCAA xc and whose one season of outdoor health as a pro led to a 12:56 and 60:00 bronze. He's got great training partners. If he's in sub 13 shape by the trials, he should be able to run sub 27:45 (the A standard) with ease and still qualify ahead of the various 27:20ish other runners. Rupp/Ritz/Teg for the team.