I can't wait to see what kind of time A. Cragg puts up in the hot Rome 5K. The guy is a beast, and I predict somewhere in the 13:05-13:10 range. What do you guys think?
I can't wait to see what kind of time A. Cragg puts up in the hot Rome 5K. The guy is a beast, and I predict somewhere in the 13:05-13:10 range. What do you guys think?
He's ready to Rock! sub 13:10
I say 13:25
13:25?!! Any reason for such a guess?
A guess doesn't need a reason.
I think 13:25 because I don't think he is as good as everyone thinks. His PR's are only
1500: 3:39.24
Mile: 3:59.14
5,000: 13:22.07
10,000: 28:20.29
Please correct me if I am wrong, but 13:08 is a little to fast right now for him.
13:16 is his PR, he ran that @ Stanford this year. In that race he won by nearly 30 secs.
28:20 was cruising @ nationals.
He has only ran a handful of races that were not tactical or just trying to qualify for nationals.
Sub 13:10 would not be that big of a surprise.
comp wrote:
I think 13:25 because I don't think he is as good as everyone thinks. His PR's are only
1500: 3:39.24
Mile: 3:59.14
5,000: 13:22.07
10,000: 28:20.29
Please correct me if I am wrong, but 13:08 is a little to fast right now for him.
Don't forget 7:38 indoors...that plus 13:16 a while ago is indicative of 13:08 capabilities.
Cragg is the equivalent of "Ritz + 2-1/2 years". He seems to be getting better all the time.
My new guess is 12:58. I didn't know he ran a 13:16 with a 30 sec lead.
He is Ritz with a kick...or at least in the NCAA when he is never pushed to his limits. I'll go with 13:04.
I will be disappointed if Cragg doesn't break 13:10. High standards, but he convincingly beat a #8 ranked Kenyan who convincingly beat a 13:20's-fit Ritz. Torres ran 13:24 last year and Cragg seems more than a dozen seconds better than Torres was. Everything makes sense for a huge race.
13:18.
There is no way that after a full NCAA season, Cragg is in his peak. Goucher at his peak was 13:11, and Cragg I don't think is quite there yet. Could be wrong. But I bet he's tired.
13:22,if he is lucky.He does have decent speed.However that race will go out very fast.If he isn't ready for sub 13 pace he is going to blow up and run maybe 13:22.Maybe slower.But who knows.I wish him the best of luck and hope that he can hold on and have a breakthrough performance of 13:0something.
In the NCAA, Cragg and his coach gave him an incredible killer instinct to WIN races. In the future this will prove to be a very strong quality to have. Bob Kennedy most times did not run monster times in college, but he did win natonal titles from the 1500 to the 10k in cross. He started as a winner, and that translated to faster times in the future.
fast course wrote:
13:22,if he is lucky.He does have decent speed.However that race will go out very fast.If he isn't ready for sub 13 pace he is going to blow up and run maybe 13:22.Maybe slower.But who knows.I wish him the best of luck and hope that he can hold on and have a breakthrough performance of 13:0something.
Assuming he's still in good fitness, the biggest challenge will be to keep from going too fast with the leaders, assuming the pace is sub-13:00.
Cragg's been running to win in almost every race that sadly, he's got to keep that instinct in check. He looks like a runner driven to win, so it could be a challenge for him to be fighting hard while finishing as another runner.
13:01
OE
13:59
He is hoping to go around a second quicker a lap than his time in Stanford which should be around 13:05 - Anything more will be a bonus
13:09 if he doesnt go with Kipchoge,Sihine and Co otherwise he'll blow up.