At what body weight and above do you see a significant dropoff in 5k time, vs the weights below it. My guess would be 160, since it seems like there are plenty of guys in the 150 range who have no trouble getting under 17 minutes for 5k. Once you past 160, breaking 17 becomes tough, and I guess breakign 20 becomes tough one you past 180.
Even NBA players who look scrawny weigh in excess of 170 pounds because of their height and muscle mass (muscle takes up less space than fat, leading to the scrawny look)