Men
Hall is a lock....but from there????
Hall (class of the field)
Meb (has shown amazing consistency in the marathon)
three through five are WIDE open...
Lehm (is he healthy? will run 211 to 212ish)
Hartman (has stepped up his game)
Ritz (enough miles under his belt?)
Gotcher (not running as well as previously but has shown the ability)
Nick Arciniaga (211 to 212 like Lehm is my guess)
Abdi (a comeback?)
Morgan/Humphreys? (Hanson always has well prepared athletes)
Women
I think its a bit more open than people expect....
Flanagan (only one marathon under her belt, and I do think at times Schumacher's athletes are a bit overtrained)
Desi (again, Hanson athletes always well prepared)
Kastor (over 26.2 her aging and lack of true speed aren't an issue....she can run hard from 30K on and drop a bunch of folks)
Goucher (even from her blog it sounds like she's getting her a$$ handed to her in workouts....maybe not quite ready, and perhaps pushed too much in a Schumacher program initially)
Nelson (she was a 100 meters from winning Chicago...she's a solid sub230 regardless)
Cherobon (think she's racing too much but seems to improve with each race)
Magda (no sense of her fitness, but she's been running much better over 26.2 in the last couple of years)
Pritz (impressive debut but first marathon takes a ton out of you, so recovery might be an issue)
curious to see how this all plays out.....going to be a ton of fun to watch.
There's always some drama, and its much more entertaining than any other marathon with so much at stake.