Of course, these three are not likely to be among the top two finishers at Monaco, but it is a race within a race:
I say: Wheating, Kaki, Centro. I think Kaki can be a factor at 1500, if only because of his speed. But in a race like Monaco, he doesn't stand a chance of winning, so he either goes out too fast and dies, or he runs smart and blows past a few runners in the last 200 for a final time of 3:34 or so.
The field:
ATHLETE DATE OF BIRTH NATION PB SB
BAALA Mehdi
17.08.1978
FRA
3:28.98
CARVALHO Florian
09.03.1989
FRA
3:35.29
3:35.29
CENTROWITZ Matt
18.10.1989
USA
3:34.69
3:34.69
CHEBOI Collins
25.09.1987
KEN
3:33.82
3:33.82
CHEPSEBA Nixon Kiplimo
12.12.1990
KEN
3:31.42
3:31.42
CHOGE Augustine Kiprono
21.01.1987
KEN
3:29.47
3:33.38
GREGSON Ryan
26.04.1990
AUS
3:31.06
3:36.64
KAKI Abubaker
21.06.1989
SUD
3:39.71
KIPLAGAT Silas
20.08.1989
KEN
3:29.27
3:31.39
KOECH Justus
19.03.1980
KEN
3:46.40
MEKHISSI BENABBAD Mahiedine
15.03.1985
FRA
3:33.86
3:33.86
MEKONNEN Deresse
20.10.1987
ETH
3:32.18
3:33.84
RISELEY Jeffrey
11.11.1986
AUS
3:32.93
3:36.60
WHEATING Andrew
21.11.1987
USA
3:30.90
3:34.39
WILLIS Nick
25.04.1983
NZL
3:32.17
3:33.22