ventolin^3 wrote:
the answer lies in the last 2 lines :
currently, he looks like a 3'33/3'34 &
7'26/7'27
in his perfect race...
a) he has been training for 5k/10k, with focus on strength all season, why do you think he is currently in shape to run a FOUR second pr at 1500?
b) I am not sure if anyone in history has run their "perfect race."
c) and the discussion here is what he is capable of in HIS NEXT RACE, not his "perfect race". I doubt after a long season, with more focus on longer races, he is currently capable of his best performance at 3k.
d) as I stated with my #'s, his 5k and 10k times (what he has actually done), are = to ~ 7:31/7:32 if one considers Komen's 3k WR equivalent in quality to Bekele's records at 5k/10k. And I see no reason to doubt that Komen's record is not = in quality to Bekele's.
But let's say, as you state, that Solinsky is capable of a little faster, RIGHT NOW, in 5k/10k than he has actually done (which I am not sure if he is. He has been in some great quality races, been towed along, and has run 12:55, and 12:56 twice). But for the sake of argument, let's give him a capability of 12:52.5. If he is indeed capable of that (unlikely at this moment0, that would put him at 102% (1.02 x) of the 5k record. That factor x the 3k record puts him just under 7:30 (7:29.5). So he might be capable of 7:30:
* IF he is capable of 12:52.5 right now in his best race, and
* IF he is as good at 3k as he is at 5k right now (doubtful), and
* IF he runs his best race possible this weekend.
Those are a lot of "if's". I agree he is capable of sub 7:30, but don't think it will happen this weekend.
But for you to say that Solinsky is capable, right now, in a perfect race, of 7:26, can only mean that your calculations, either, A) have little respect for Komen's 7:20 in comparison to Bekele's WR's at 5k/10k (and I am not sure why that would be), and/or B) you think Solinksy is a much better miler than he actually is.