if weather conditions are right and if this race is an honest one (not a tactical, sit and kick one), i'd say Wheating goes 3:33 and is the first American to finish. Kiprop FTW
if weather conditions are right and if this race is an honest one (not a tactical, sit and kick one), i'd say Wheating goes 3:33 and is the first American to finish. Kiprop FTW
DNF
3:36.3
GO DUCKS wrote:
Are you all on crack? 3:36.4 and not a tenth faster
3:33.5
His 3:50 mile was crazy.
Well, for fun I'll go with 3:32.7 for 4th.
Assuming PRE like pace or better and a winning time of 3:31.
I think Wheating will be a bit more assertive here and not be far off 2nd place.
Be nice to see 4 americans under 3:34 in a single race.
Andy told me he would run 3:35.25 and get 6th.
- Robby
sub 3:30
trackman1989 wrote:
sub 3:30
Haha, wow. Would Wheating get the blackout main page for that?
I see wheating going at that barrier, but prolly not this week.
He's looking great, but he's been firing on the cylinders for a while now. I think a minor PR from his 3:34 equiv. is doable, maybe even a couple seconds but 3:30 is dreaming.
But if it happens i'll give you a nice hug.
His mile PR is: 3:51.74
that equates to roughly a 3:33.7, given that that was a HUGE PR for him, I'm going to say he runs 3:35 (maybe 3:34). Him going below 3:33 is extremly unlikely. IMHDMHO (in my humble honest dearest most honest opinion).
-ROCKISAFLAMMABLESOURCEMAN
Didn't Seneca Lassiter, right after college, run 3:33? I'm sure Wheating can run as fast.
Speaking of Seneca, what happened to him? Dude was fast and it wasn't that long ago that he was pacing Lagat at World Indoors (that was Seneca, right?)
3:34.44
I just plugged Wheating's recent 800 into a Purdy calculator and discovered that the mile equivalent is exactly what he ran at Prefontaine, 3:51.75. Pretty remarkable to be that consistent.
That said, I'll factor in two things: (1) he said afterwards that he thought he could have gone faster at Pre and (2) his 1:44 was the first race off the plane.
The 1500 equivalent between those two is 3:34.58. I'll be generous and say he had a little more in him and that he uses that experience here.
My prediction: 3:33.92.
3:33.24
Zat0pek wrote:
I just plugged Wheating's recent 800 into a Purdy calculator and discovered that the mile equivalent is exactly what he ran at Prefontaine, 3:51.75. Pretty remarkable to be that consistent.
That said, I'll factor in two things: (1) he said afterwards that he thought he could have gone faster at Pre and (2) his 1:44 was the first race off the plane.
The 1500 equivalent between those two is 3:34.58. I'll be generous and say he had a little more in him and that he uses that experience here.
My prediction: 3:33.92.
Not sure if you saw his 800 but it was pretty rocky from 200 to about 80 meters to go with Symmonds in front of him trying to go around people just when Wheating was. That and the fact that it was his first euro race and he just got off the plane a few days earlier, I think he could go faster than he did for 800. PRE he obviously sat back too long.
That said they were both very good races with some room for improvement, but far from bad or flat races.
I think this time around he's going to want to be up higher coming into that last 300 and as long as he's feeling as good or better as his last two races he'll finish closer to the winner. He's learning now, if he wants to crack the top 3 he has to be closer to it coming into the last 200. He should have an easier time of that in a fast 1500 than a fast 800 since the field should stretch a bit. I think if he has a flat day he runs 3:34 or 3:35.
This upcoming Monaca 1500 will be well paced (54, 1:52, 2:50 for the splits I'll bet) and AW just needs to tuck in the line and be dragged along. If he takes a chance and hangs on to the back of the lead group, no reason he can run around 3:32 (if he runs the pace above he needs a 42 last 300).
Uhm, Monaco....
3:34.27
what does the diamond points race look like in the 1500
I would think if the pointsrace is tight you have more of a chance for a short time up front and Wheating getting pulled along for 1200.
I doubt his last 100 'kick' will be faster than the leaders clock.
If he has already run 3:51 for the mile, I would not be surprised if he ran a solid 3:33.
3;34.70