Its very unlikely they will toughen up the standard because what they have found is that when they standard tightens they actually get more runners who sign up. This is particularly true in the higher age brackets. Basically not everyone who has boston qualifiers sign up. In fact the great majority do not. But if Boston lowers the time it gains some prestige and a lot of these people who have been passing it up set it as a new goal. As far as the charity and free pass runners. There are a lot, but I think in terms of total % of the the field they make up like 10% or so. which isn't that much. It does suck to get left out, but of course your philly qualifier is good for the 2011 boston, and you'll have no trouble signing up early.
As for the BAA they are kind of stuck between a bit of a rock and a hard place. They can drop the qualifier massively, to the point where there are only 30 or 40 thousand possible qualifiers out there and risk not filling up. They can drop it a sensible amount and actually have more people sign up and increase there problems. They can make the race larger, they did this for the 100th. The race went off without too much trouble but because of the size of the field and the small roads there was a feeling that most of the field couldn't really race, they were more forced to just run the pace of the mass. Or they can leave it the way it is, still get huge #'s and just deal with a little whining.
Personally I'd love to see them really drop the qualifier way down. At one point it was 2:50 for open men. How about they go for 2:45 and drop all the other times by 25 minutes as well. They might not fill up but they might just have the most competitive top to bottom marathon in the world. The romantic side of me likes to think it would kick start a revolution in marathoning by upping the standard people across the country would double their efforts and the BAA would have to continue to drop the times and before long the first 5,000 finishers would be under 3hrs. The average finishing time in the marathon would not just get back to where it was in the early 80's but get better and with massively increased #'s.
But I'd bet the BAA board sees it in the opposite light. They view there soft qualifier as something that is perfectly placed in that the average person can't do it without a little work, but they can do it without so much work that it seems prohibitive. They'd argue that they are a big part of what draws people to the sport and keeps them in it the first few years and by doing that they have helped expand the running world greatly. Further more if they were to go they way I propose that people wouldn't double their efforts that instead the majority would decide that it was impossible and just not be runners and it would begin to spin running in a downward cycle back to the tiny cult group it was prior to the boom.
All that is just a long winded way of saying that it isn't really all that simple of a thing to fix so stop whining and run the damn thing in 2011.