Will Lagat upset Bekele in his run for the Jackpot this Friday in Paris?

lagat is rounding into excellent shape

unless kennster attempts to run him off the track with 7'25, bernie will kill him in a race with 6'35+ at the bell

Lagat most likely because he wins most in-season meets. But Bekele will reign at Worlds and nut all over Lagat if Lagat trys the 5000.

http://www.ouest-france.fr/sport/dma_une_-Athletisme-Golden-League-Paris-Lagat-sur-3-000-m_88-1006024_filInfosport.Htm

If I read the translation right, this article says the pacemakers are going at 7:25 pace.

I think that either Lagat wins by less than a second over Bekele in 7:33-7:35 or Bekele wins by a landslide in sub-7:30 with everyone else way back. It really depends on how fast KB is willing to run (or capable of running) to try to break Lagat in this race.

bpence wrote:

http://www.ouest-france.fr/sport/dma_une_-Athletisme-Golden-League-Paris-Lagat-sur-3-000-m_88-1006024_filInfosport.Htm

If I read the translation right, this article says the pacemakers are going at 7:25 pace.

I think that either Lagat wins by less than a second over Bekele in 7:33-7:35 or Bekele wins by a landslide in sub-7:30 with everyone else way back. It really depends on how fast KB is willing to run (or capable of running) to try to break Lagat in this race.

If KB is willing to run fast, and the pace does work out to run 7:25, then he will win. Lagat is to old to hang onto a 7:25 3k. Lagat injuried or not at the olympics would have had to pr to beat Bekele there in the 5000. Basically Lagat can't hang onto a fast 3k/5k. He can in when they go in 7:35-38 or 13:10-20.

solinsky will block for lagat. game over. touchdown usa

vent it out wrote:

bpence wrote:http://www.ouest-france.fr/sport/dma_une_-Athletisme-Golden-League-Paris-Lagat-sur-3-000-m_88-1006024_filInfosport.Htm

If I read the translation right, this article says the pacemakers are going at 7:25 pace.

I think that either Lagat wins by less than a second over Bekele in 7:33-7:35 or Bekele wins by a landslide in sub-7:30 with everyone else way back. It really depends on how fast KB is willing to run (or capable of running) to try to break Lagat in this race.

If KB is willing to run fast, and the pace does work out to run 7:25, then he will win. Lagat is to old to hang onto a 7:25 3k. Lagat injuried or not at the olympics would have had to pr to beat Bekele there in the 5000. Basically Lagat can't hang onto a fast 3k/5k. He can in when they go in 7:35-38 or 13:10-20.

You do know that Lagat ran 13:02 for 5000 this year in NY right? he lost by a few tenths of a second to Micha Kogo and really it could of went either way, Kogo just outdipped him. If Lagat had to im betting he could run 12:55. Im doubtful that the race goes in 7:25. Every rabbited race Bekele has run this year has fallen off pace in the middle and plus 7:25 is Kennys pr and because he is rounding into form he is not ready to pr.

wisconuts wrote:

solinsky will block for lagat. game over. touchdown usa

qfe

either that or solinskys compression socks pull through for him and he rips a 7:27 ftw.

trying this :

http://www.jundo.co.uk

& giving bernie the 12'55 which is reasonable

then going with his various possible current 1500s, starting with 3'32sb ( & probably quicker as that 3'32 was in a low quality race )

3'32 ->7'27.60

3'31 ->7'26.76

3'30 ->7'25.91

kennster will have to be in probably 7'25 shape for a definite win...

I sure hope so wrote:

http://www.meetingareva.com/resultats/?language=uk&sexe=h&epreuve=18

Should be a great race as both are entered in the 3k. Although Bekele isnt in top form, (as Lagat probably isnt either) both are rounding into form and I think its the perfect time for those two to clash. Who will win and what will the time be?

Im saying Lagat in 7:31 with a 53 last lap.

Solinsky also entered in the 3k and KD will take on 1:43 guy and Beijing Silver Medalist Ismail Ahmed Ismail of Sudan.

Bekele is leading with 1 to go and Lagat is primed to make his move. He looks over his shoulder and see's that drug testers have come to this meet and they are talking to Coach Li. Lagat pulls out at 200m and claims achilles injury. Skips Worlds and doesnt race again untill the millrose games where he wins for the eigth time.

I predict both Lagat and Solinsky break the AR in the 3k. Bekele over Lagat though.

;lasjdl wrote:

I predict both Lagat and Solinsky break the AR in the 3k. Bekele over Lagat though.

Solinsky has done nothing to indicate he could even come close to approaching the AR in the 3k. 7:35 would be a really good day for him.

i agree. solinsky has been on fire this year, but ar is a stretch. 7:33 if he doesn't die on last lap.

Solinsky went what? like 7:37-38 at pre off a slower pace? Im thinking 7:33 would be a great run for Solinsky which would also be a pr if im correct. As for Bekele and Lagat, I think Bekele will win. He seems very determined to win this jackpot.

whatever the outcome, it will be a good preview of whats to come in Berlin.

prediction: pace will fall off in the middle, Lagat in 7:35 with a 53 last lap.

ventolin wrote:

trying this :

http://www.jundo.co.uk

& giving bernie the 12\'55 which is reasonable

then going with his various possible current 1500s, starting with 3\'32sb ( & probably quicker as that 3\'32 was in a low quality race )

3\'32 ->7\'27.60

3\'31 ->7\'26.76

3\'30 ->7\'25.91

kennster will have to be in probably 7\'25 shape for a definite win...

what are you using? is that like mcmillan?

sickening wrote:

ventolin wrote:

try this :http://www.jundo.co.uk

& giving bernie the 12'55 which is reasonable then going with his various possible current 1500s, starting with 3'32sb ( & probably quicker as that 3'32 was in a low quality race )

3'32 ->7'27.60

3'31 ->7'26.76

3'30 ->7'25.91

kennster will have to be in probably 7'25 shape for a definite win...

what are you using? is that like mcmillan?

He is using Jundo/Ventolin/Eldrick -- his own set of equations for interpolating and extrapolating. See the link. I do not always agree but it is about the best place to start.

I sure hope so wrote:

http://www.meetingareva.com/resultats/?language=uk&sexe=h&epreuve=18

Should be a great race as both are entered in the 3k. Although Bekele isnt in top form, (as Lagat probably isnt either) both are rounding into form and I think its the perfect time for those two to clash. Who will win and what will the time be?

Im saying Lagat in 7:31 with a 53 last lap.

Solinsky also entered in the 3k and KD will take on 1:43 guy and Beijing Silver Medalist Ismail Ahmed Ismail of Sudan.

Lagat wont run a 7:31. If the pace comes out to be 7:31 then Lagat will loose. The only way Lagat is going to win is if the pace is 7:35+ and thats the ONLY way he will win. That doesnt mean he will win. Bekele is still capable of beating Lagat off a slow pace. Do you know what Bekele rounding into form is? Its still better then every single runner in the world at top form. He just ran a 12:56 and he didnt even press untill 100 to go so he could get the world lead, just because he can.

"will loose"?

I completely agree with you...Bekely is a beast!