Rupp will also break 13 this year

2016 is a long way off. Rupp will most likely be done with track racing or running all together by that point. I could see him still competing at marathon distance in his late twenties / early thirties.

So lets summarize. Rupp will break sub 13 because:

He ran 13:18 indoors(I guess that means Chelanga will break 13 as well).

He finished a 5k in 4:01(which means McNiell will break 13 and Derrick will run 13:02).

He ran 20,000 meters in one weekend(which means Dean Karnazes will break 13).

I'm convinced.

Lol

You forgot one. Becuase he handily beat Chelanga who is a 27:28 guy(we will ignore the fact that Chelanga ran 13:30 three weeks ago).

Kleeto wrote:

So lets summarize. Rupp will break sub 13 because:

He ran 13:18 indoors(I guess that means Chelanga will break 13 as well).

He finished a 5k in 4:01(which means McNiell will break 13 and Derrick will run 13:02).

He ran 20,000 meters in one weekend(which means Dean Karnazes will break 13).

I'm convinced.

No, Rupp will break 13 simply because he looks that good.

The numbers exist simply to lend some weight to peoples arguments. In the end, letsrunners wouldn't be making these crazy predictions unless Rupp looked so incredibly dominant and at ease during his races that they had trouble envisioning him losing.

(And you do seem to be on to something about Mcneill there. He had quite an impressive kick. I see a 13:1X in the near future for him)

Rupp will never break 13 for 5k. He too much of a girlly man for that.

jimji wrote:

Rupp will never break 13 for 5k. He too much of a girlly man for that.

Sorry, but Rupp has a girlfriend, so you will never get the chance to enjoy his hard, athletic body.

I truly do not know whether he will do it this year. But, I do know he will beat some big names - and honestly - that's all I care about. I want him to bitch slap some of those bastards - let them know Americans won't just take this African dominance lying down.

At this point and time, Americans are the only non-africans capable of stealing a medal from the Africans. Not Europeans. Not Canadians...definitely not Asians....MAYBE Australians...DEFINITELY Americans.

asadasd wrote:

I truly do not know whether he will do it this year. But, I do know he will beat some big names - and honestly - that's all I care about. I want him to bitch slap some of those bastards - let them know Americans won't just take this African dominance lying down.

At this point and time, Americans are the only non-africans capable of stealing a medal from the Africans. Not Europeans. Not Canadians...definitely not Asians....MAYBE Australians...DEFINITELY Americans.

A couple Brits as well, but I like your style. 99% of american distance fans and up and comers have already put their rears in the air. Thank goodness Teg, Rupp, Solinsky, Fam and others have not. If Rupp can start rubbing elbows and Teg and Solinsky get back to top form or better I think there will be a BIG paradigm shift. Hopefully Lincoln and Fam can get under 8:10 in the steeple, and most importantly close out a good last lap. If German and Derrick and hopefully Puskedra keep progressing they'll continue the wave. I see Derrick as someone like Rupp, training really hard and racing long and hard all the time with a decent but not great finish. Perhaps if he follows Rupps model and really applies the speed in 4 years his results will follow.

You all forgot about Teg and Solinsky. I think these guys, Rupp, Fernandez, a revitalized Webb, Hall and MAYBE Ritz (thon) are our big "hopes" in 2012. Some of these guys will be on the twilight of their career (Teg and Webb) while others will be taking over.

But Teg is the best chance at a medal this year, imho. 4th in 2007, a slight off year last year, but I bet he comes back strong in 2009.

Never going to happen. That's like saying the inner city jewish b-ball players are going to dominate the NBA again. Or it's like saying the finns and east europeans will dominate the long distance races again. For every fernandez and chris derrick or galen rupp there's like 20 young east africans never even heard of equally talented if not more. Hell, the ethiopians probably got some young guy that nobody knows about ready to rip s**t up as soon as bekele starts showing age and moves up.

Voice of G.Rupp Fans wrote:

Never going to happen. That's like saying the inner city jewish b-ball players are going to dominate the NBA again. Or it's like saying the finns and east europeans will dominate the long distance races again. For every fernandez and chris derrick or galen rupp there's like 20 young east africans never even heard of equally talented if not more. Hell, the ethiopians probably got some young guy that nobody knows about ready to rip s**t up as soon as bekele starts showing age and moves up.

Perfect example of the rear in the air mentality which permeates throught this country in terms of expectations. All we can hope is that you and your brothren are left in the dust wondering, when the few talented and brave ones break the mold. Billy Mills was not supposed to win gold my friend, and the 4 minute mile was not meant to be broken by a human being. And by the way, while depth may increase the odds, it guarantees nothing. How much did Teg miss a medal by at worlds? For all those africans you describe, not many of them showed up to beat Teg, who incidentally may not even be our 2nd best 5K runner.

And our best 5k runner is an EAST AFRICAN. By the way you do realize the 5k was run very very slow right. Bernard lagat won it in 13:46 which is borderline top hs time. Not saying that teg wouldn't been factor but you failed to realize when the pace is fast from the gun, teg is no way near the FRONT and loses contact very easy (alas beijing 5k). And we also have to be honest to the fact that bekele wasn't even running in the osaka 5k finals. Had he been, the pace would've been a hell of a lot quicker and lagat would have one less gold medal.

Voice of G.Rupp Fans wrote:

And our best 5k runner is an EAST AFRICAN. By the way you do realize the 5k was run very very slow right. Bernard lagat won it in 13:46 which is borderline top hs time. Not saying that teg wouldn't been factor but you failed to realize when the pace is fast from the gun, teg is no way near the FRONT and loses contact very easy (alas beijing 5k). And we also have to be honest to the fact that bekele wasn't even running in the osaka 5k finals. Had he been, the pace would've been a hell of a lot quicker and lagat would have one less gold medal.

I'm sorry it sounded like you were making excuses for why an American finished 4th at the world championships. He's a 13:04 guy so the race could have been much faster and he may still have finished just as well. Yes Lagat has been better than Teg, but perhaps Rupp and Solinsky are as well now.

Just like he did in the beijing olympic 5k. I mean he was a 13:04 guy right. Why didn't he finish well in that race. This just proves my point. Lagat and Teg is lucky to got what they got because bekele was not entered in the osaka 5k finals.

Rupp will break 13.

Didn't even turn on the fast gears today.

Looked like a training run.

He will not break 13, and he will get destroyed by the africans when it matters.

Beating Ritz in a 10k at this point ain't that big of a deal. Ritz would be easily lapped or double lapped by all the top guys in the world.

13:18 indoors. Tell me he hasn't gotten better since.

Could probably uncork a 3:54 OFF 10k training. Think about it, a few speed session, he's down to 3:52/3:35. Ask yourself, was Kennedy that fast?

I rest my case. You either believe or you don't.

Its nice to dream. But back to reality. It seems like everyone is underestimating the sub 13 barrier. Hell lagat, the second fastest 1500m ever has a hard time going under 13 and all of a sudden rupp who has a few dazzeling moments in his slow races is suppose to run under 13 min just like that. The world leading time in the 5k I believe is 12:59 and rupps Pr is 13:18. Like I said its nice to dream.